Sowing Success: 16 African Entrepreneurs Reviving Land and Growing Profits

2 días 10 horas ago
Sowing Success: 16 African Entrepreneurs Reviving Land and Growing Profits shannon.paton@… Thu, 10/10/2024 - 16:11

Across Africa, a dynamic wave of entrepreneurs is rewriting the script on land use. Against the backdrop of climate change and deforestation that threatens the health and economy of communities across the continent, these innovators are crafting sustainable solutions that heal the land. Their projects are not just about planting trees or reviving soil — they’re about a movement rooted in resilience, creativity and impact.

In Benin, Kiel Bien-Être is shaking up the traditional fruit business with a fresh approach. The company is building a sustainable value chain around the superfruit of the baobab tree, native to Africa but not yet valued by mainstream financial institutions.

But Kiel Bien-Être is producing more than baobab goods — it is also creating a thriving ecosystem. Working with local women, the business supports families, promotes sustainable farming and transforms the nutritionally dense baobab fruit into everything from snacks to cosmetics. The best part? They use every single part of the baobab, making the business a powerhouse against food waste.

Across the Indian Ocean in Madagascar, Voanala Nahari is on a mission to reforest the island and bring it back to life. It carries out soil and water testing for farmers and collects fruit tree seeds from surrounding communities to sell to companies, government institutions and NGOs that restore land. Drawing on local expertise and relationships, it ensures the sustainability and viability of tree-planting projects for communities.

In Ghana, Envirotech Bamboo Limited is taking a whole new approach to going green. The company grows native bamboo and transforms it into unique bicycle frames and custom cycling products. Through its work, Envirotech sequesters carbon, improves soil health and encourages locals to adopt eco-friendly modes of transport.

Kiel Bien-Être, Voanala Nahari and Envirotech Bamboo Limited are just three of the inspiring companies selected to participate in the 2024 cohort of the Land Accelerator Africa. The program offers businesses the necessary mentorship and training for scaling their ventures and contributes to Africa’s commitment to restore 100 million hectares of land by 2030 through the AFR100 Initiative.

The leaders behind these companies represent a new generation of African entrepreneurs who are developing innovative business solutions at the grassroots level. By incorporating nature into their value chains, they are restoring degraded land and improving local livelihoods all while generating financial returns.

Recognizing that businesses like these are limited by an inability to access investment at scale, WRI has partnered with Fledge, Barka, and AUDA-NEPAD since 2018 to implement the Land Accelerator Africa. This year, the program supports 100 companies across the continent, selected from a pool of 659 applicants. This cohort has gender and social equity at its core: 56% of the companies have a woman co-founder, and 50% are led by young entrepreneurs.

For 12 weeks, they participated in sessions led by seasoned business experts who coached them on leadership, communication and pitching to investors. The entrepreneurs also had the chance to connect with their peers and share lessons from across the African restoration sector. At the end of the program, each participant submitted a pitch deck, website and site visit video, and had the opportunity to apply for the more selective second stage of the Land Accelerator.

The program ultimately selected sixteen standout ventures to come together in Accra, Ghana, to further develop their ideas, refine their pitches and receive training and mentorship from seasoned experts in the restoration sector.

Despite showing the immense potential of for-profit land restoration in Africa, the Top 16 face a formidable set of challenges. Insufficient capital for key investments, and limited access to finance and credit, often stifle their growth. Market volatility, resource constraints and persistent gender bias only add to the pressure. This is where the Land Accelerator steps in, arming these innovative restoration businesses with the tools they need to break through barriers and scale their impact.

Below you can explore the unique stories of these inspiring ventures as they take on the challenge of restoring Africa’s landscapes.

Through a cooperative model, Nigerian company Springboard partners with smallholder farmers and rural women to produce cacao, plantains and edible crickets. Photo by Springboard

 

Meet the Land Accelerator Africa’s Top 16 Companies

 

Africa Farm Research and Development

Sector: Reforestation and agricultural consulting

Location: Benin

By fighting soil degradation and promoting biodiversity through reforestation and agricultural consulting, Africa Farm Research and Development  helps local farmers restore their land with high-quality forest and fruit seedlings and sustainable farming techniques. Its mission is to combat soil degradation, enhance biodiversity and strengthen food security through sustainable farming practices. Working with local communities, the company is able to create economic resources while preserving the environment.

Contact: Aimé Roscame Wotto, Agricultural Technician/Planning Officer, roscam007@gmail.com

 

Acacia Kia (U) Limited

Sector: Sustainable bamboo production

Location: Uganda
Acacia Kia (U) Limited focuses on bamboo multiplication and restoration. It empowers local communities through training and support services, supplying various species of bamboo and emphasizing the importance of proper maintenance of planted areas.  Products include bamboo furniture, jewelry and kitchenware, all designed to reduce plastic use in homes.

Contact: Charles Bwambale, Founder/CEO, kiaakacia@gmail.com

 

Environment and Forestry Enterprise Company Ltd (EFECO)

Sector: Agroforestry, fruit tree seedlings and farmer education

Location: Rwanda

Environment and Forestry Enterprise Company Ltd (EFECO) is a social impact enterprise that drives sustainable environmental practices. Specializing in high-quality tree seedlings for agroforestry and reforestation, EFECO also offers capacity-building programs to smallholder farmers, partnering with them to restore landscapes, promote climate resilience and create green jobs in Rwanda.

Contact:  Jean d'Amour Maniriho, Project Manager, mdamour100@gmail.com

 

Envirotech Bamboo Limited

Sector: Bamboo production and bicycle products

Location: Ghana

Envirotech Bamboo Limited empowers women and youth to design and manufacture innovative electric bamboo bicycles. By using bamboo and indigenous plants, the business promotes ecological restoration, community empowerment and sustainable development. It aims to lead the market in high-quality, sustainable bamboo products that drive eco-friendly innovations.

Contact: Bernice Dapaah, CEO, bernice@envirotechgh.org

 

Ilkapianga Investment Limited

Sector: Agriculture and forestry

Location: Kenya

Ilkapianga Investment Limited supports sustainable reforestation and combats climate change by supplying indigenous and grafted fruit tree seedlings to restore land and generate income. The company promotes biodiversity and trains local communities in seedling propagation, creating jobs and fostering a circular economy.

Contact: Millicent Lemusa, Founder/CEO, naisiaimlemusa@gmail.com

 

Inuka SARL

Sector: Waste recycling

Location: Democratic Republic of the Congo

Inuka SARL empowers local communities through ecological and economic initiatives. It transforms waste into products like fertilizer, briquettes, ecological paving stones and leather goods, and also restores degraded land. The company is active in agribusiness and food production with the goal of strengthening local economies and promoting food security.

Contact: Rodrigue Munguwamanya, Sales Director, rodriguelukubugu1@gmail.com

 

Kiel Bien-Être

Sector: Baobab

Location: Benin

Kiel Bien-Être focuses on three key areas: producing baobab, transforming the fruit into products like snacks and cosmetics and commercializing the tree under the Kiel brand. Operating on a 20-hectare site, the company collaborates with local women to produce and harvest baobab while protecting biodiversity in the area. Committed to sustainability, it repurposes all its byproducts, including organic fertilizers, animal feed, eco-friendly charcoal and biogas production.

Contact: Célia Chabi, Founder/CEO, chabiclua@gmail.com

 

Kimplanter Seedlings and Nurseries Ltd

Sector: Seedlings and agroforestry

Location: Kenya

Based in the semi-arid region of Kajiado South in Kenya, the youth- and women-led Kimplanter Seedlings and Nurseries Ltd provides affordable, climate-resilient seedlings and training to smallholder farmers. This helps boost productivity and land restoration efforts despite harsh weather conditions, and ultimately works to protect the farmers’ livelihoods.

Contact: Carolyne Mwangi, CEO, carolyne@kimplanterseedlings.co.ke

 

Motso Honey Company

Sector: Honey and beekeeping

Location: Zimbabwe

Motso Honey Company advocates for sustainable beekeeping practices that improve livelihoods, preserve agricultural traditions, combat biodiversity loss and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The company also offers beekeeping supplies, training, hive management, honey production, bee tourism, pollination services and a range of bee-related products.

Contact: Edson Mangwende, CEO, info@motsohoney.co.zw

 

Ndugunamiti Enterprises Ltd

Sector: Nurseries and sustainable timber

Location: Tanzania

Ndugunamiti Enterprises Ltd promotes tree planting for landscape restoration and advocates for climate smart agriculture, agroforestry and conservation practices for small scale farmers in the Mwanza region. The company champions responsible forest management for timber and wood processing, envisioning prosperity for both local communities and the planet. Relying on government forest services for crucial technical expertise, it mobilizes community members to nurture and protect the seedlings in their nurseries and encourages farmers to plant indigenous and threatened species.

Contact: Mayenga Shija, Managing Director, ndugunamiti2012@gmail.com

 

Ngeli Foods

Sector: Honey and beekeeping

Location: Kenya

Ngeli Foods specializes in producing, processing and distributing bee products. It collaborates with beekeepers by providing training and offering resources to help them become more sustainable, emphasizing the use of data analytics to track their progress towards zero-waste and carbon neutrality targets. The company also aggregates and processes multi-flora and naturally flavored honey, propolis and beeswax, taking pride in offering consumers top-notch raw Kenyan honey and spreading the word about the importance of bees.

Contact: Stanley Somba, CEO, ngeli@ngelifoods.com

 

Société Congolaise d'Innovation et Transformation (SCITRA)

Sector: Charcoal

Location: Democratic Republic of the Congo

The Congolese Society for Innovation and Transformation, known as SCITRA in French, is committed to environmental protection and sustainable development. It transforms waste into eco-friendly products, such as organic fertilizers and eco-charcoal, and since 2017, it has also planted trees on over 20 hectares of land. In 2024, the venture launched the production of SCITRA GORILLA biomass stoves, promoting clean and sustainable energy to fight climate change and help improve local livelihoods.

Contact: Joseph Kibange Mihali, Managing Director, kibangejoseph@gmail.com

 

Springboard

Sector: Chocolate, plantain chips and protein bread

Location: Nigeria

Using a cooperative model, Springboard empowers thousands of small-scale farmers and rural women to sustainably grow organic cacao, plantains and edible crickets. The company uses a hub-and-spoke collection system to buy quality produce at reasonable prices, ensuring farmers receive fair trade premiums and earn significant margins. The cooperative supplies over 500,000 tree seedlings to farmers every year and produces protein bread made from edible crickets, the first of its kind to be approved by Nigeria’s National Agency for Food and Drug Administration and Control (NAFDAC).

Contact: Lawrence Afere, Founder, lawrence@springboardnig.com

 

Trapro

Sector: Agritech and sustainable agriculture

Location: Rwanda

Trapro provides affordable, personalized and environmentally friendly farming services to small- and medium-scale farmers. It focuses on cash crops like coffee to drive sustainable farming practices, and supports farmers by offering access to essential inputs, market linkages, microloans and technical training on best agricultural practices. By providing seeds, financing options and resources to farmers, Trapro empowers them to grow more food for themselves and their communities.

Contact: Jean Pierre Niyigena, Chief Operations Officer, jeanpierre.niyigena1@gmail.com

 

Voanala Nahari

Sector: Reforestation

Location: Madagascar

Voanala Nahari provides reforestation consulting services, offering studies on soil structure and water availability, selecting appropriate trees for planting, selling seedlings and seeds, and monitoring clients' plantations to ensure the trees are surviving long-term. Voanala Nahari specializes in indigenous seedling propagation, shaping Madagascar’s restoration economy by protecting native tree species.

Contact: Soanorovelo Raharifiantra, CEO, voanalanahary@gmail.com

 

Yatta Beekeepers Limited

Sector: Honey and beekeeping

Location: Kenya

Yatta Beekeepers Limited combines beekeeping with agroforestry to support both farmers and forests in East Africa. This youth-led company empowers smallholder farmers with training, extension services and market access. By sharing effective beehive management techniques, Yatta Beekeepers is helping to protect local biodiversity and safeguard the native bee population.

Contact: Joan Kinyanjui, Co-Founder, yattabeekeepers@gmail.com

african-entrepreneurs-reviving-land.jpg Forest and Landscape Restoration Africa restoration Forest and Landscape Restoration Forests Type Project Update Exclude From Blog Feed? 0 Projects Authors Geraldine Wambersie Jack Seevers
shannon.paton@wri.org

To Green the Industrial Sector, Countries Must Break Down Silos

3 días 9 horas ago
To Green the Industrial Sector, Countries Must Break Down Silos wil.thomas@wri.org Wed, 10/09/2024 - 16:51

The world’s population is growing and urbanizing at a rate that will challenge our ability to reach net-zero emissions. As many countries pursue their development goals, demand for the industrial materials used to build infrastructure such as roads, buildings and bridges will increase as well. This demand for industrial products, like cement and steel, will also drive up the greenhouse gas emissions generated from production and transport.

The industrial sector currently accounts for more than a quarter of total global greenhouse gas emissions, with cement and steel production alone responsible for most of them. We must examine our options for reducing these emissions as we build new facilities, or we risk locking in emissions-intensive, highly polluting processes to satisfy the rising global demand for industrial products. We also need to consider pathways for existing facilities to replace or retrofit aging equipment or change their processes to deliver lower carbon products.


India’s Ministry of Steel has projected that the country’s steel production will almost double from 179 million tons (MT) in 2024 to 300 MT in 2030. Cement demand in countries across Africa is slated to experience a similarly dramatic increase of 77% by 2030. Meanwhile, in the United States, a delay in industrial decarbonization efforts means industry will overtake transportation and buildings as the country’s largest emitting sector by next decade.

Some promising steps are starting to emerge. In the United States, the federal government announced a $6.3 billion investment in low-emission industrial demonstrations projects, selecting them from across industrial subsectors including decarbonizing cement and steel plants. The European Council has also signed off on new regulations to reduce emissions and boost efficiencies in industry.

However, like other forms of climate finance, the current level of global investments in industrial decarbonization is insufficient and needs to increase by a factor of three to five by 2030. While promising, these policy efforts do not address a critical issue when it comes to greening the industrial sector in a globalized world: Countries and companies cannot operate in silos. Without cross-border product standards alignment and international cooperation to help deliver new technologies, reaching net-zero targets could be delayed by decades. This would not only harm the climate, it would also slow the ability for workers and businesses — especially those in lesser developed countries — to participate in a clean energy economy.

Why International Cooperation on Industrial Decarbonization Is Important

International collaboration is key to achieving climate goals within heavy industries because industrial products are often traded across borders to serve global value chains. Shared innovation and learning are also crucial for accelerating the deployment of decarbonization technologies as they become available. Collaboration can also bolster and revitalize domestic industries. Coordination on research and development could help deliver additional investments that upgrade manufacturing and deliver better products and services to industry.

Technologies like hydrogen electrolyzers, thermal heat batteries and efficient motors and heat pumps are maturing and becoming ready for mass adoption and widespread commercialization. As with past industrial innovation, at this stage of commercialization, businesses are interested in licensing technology to other countries, benefiting both the technology provider and the businesses in the new market.

In recent years, multiple international agencies have stressed the importance of cross-border collaboration and suggested avenues to improve coordination within industrial sectors.

The International Renewable Energy Agency’s (IRENA) 2023 Breakthrough Agenda Report put forth specific recommendations for international coordination in heavy industrial sectors. They include:  

  • Harmonizing emissions standards and reporting and improving transparency on accounting methodologies for what counts as “green” or low emissions.  
  • Fostering dialogues at the intersection of trade and climate and encouraging green procurement policies to create demand for low-emissions industrial goods. 
  • Encouraging knowledge and technology transfer by coordinating research and development investments, creating public-private partnerships, sharing best practices and by learning from pilot and demonstration projects for scaling technologies.  
  • Creating matchmaking opportunities between countries and stakeholders on climate finance and technical assistance to derisk investment and reduce costs. 
  • Increasing representation of Asian, African and Latin American countries, which tend to be underrepresented in current international initiatives yet will see a rapid increase in demand for industrial materials as they continue to industrialize.
International Cooperation Is Starting to Take Shape

Fortunately, countries have started to recognize the need to cultivate more effective international cooperation for industrial decarbonization. And we have seen some encouraging signs.

Partnerships on Standards, Demand Creation and Knowledge Sharing

Forging partnerships to develop international green standards, share best practices, create demand for green products and create pathways for reducing costs of technology deployment can help spur a shift towards net-zero industries. One example is UNIDO’s Industrial Deep Decarbonisation Initiative (IDDI), a coalition of nine countries working to encourage green public procurement for low-carbon industrial goods by setting globally harmonized standards and benchmarks. Similarly, the First Movers Coalition public-private partnership has brought together influential businesses to leverage collective purchasing power to help decarbonize industry, driving billions of dollars in annual commitments to source low-carbon products through advanced market commitments. And Leadership Group for Industry Transition (LeadIT), a partnership led by Sweden and India, has brought several countries and companies together to track decarbonization “roadmaps” in several of its member nations and to guide other countries in developing their own.

By leveraging knowledge exchange, peer learning and the collective influence of governments and businesses, these partnerships can be powerful tools. Harmonized standards with consistent methodologies for emissions reporting and benchmarking within these efforts are critical for ensuring that these partnerships and initiatives are complementary and do not send mixed signals to the market.

Technical and Financial Assistance Initiatives

Both policymakers and business leaders can play a role in technical and financial assistance, and build the capacity needed to successfully set industries up for decarbonization. The Climate Club, an intergovernmental forum launched at COP28, is a promising example of this type of effort. Led by the International Energy Agency (IEA) and the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), the Climate Club’s work includes a Global Matchmaking Platform for its 42 country members to better access the technical and financial assistance needed to speed up industrial decarbonization.  

Adopting models for financial and technical assistance from other sectors could also prove vital for accelerating industrial decarbonization, especially for countries in Asia and Africa where demand for industrial products is rapidly increasing. However, they should heed lessons from the challenges of arrangements such as Just Energy Transition Partnerships (JETPs). JETPs are finance packages that offer finance and support for technology transition and worker reskilling, but they have been criticized for not including enough concessional and grant funds and moving too slowly due to high administrative burdens.

Climate-Oriented Trade Agreements

International agreements at the intersection of climate and trade that focus on industrial goods have been receiving attention in recent years. One example of this type of agreement is the U.S.-EU Global Arrangement on Sustainable Steel and Aluminium (GASSA), a proposal to increase trade of green steel and aluminum between the two regions that includes a potential joint tariff on imports from regions with higher-emission products or those that contribute to oversupply. However, negotiations on this agreement stalled and are likely to remain dormant until 2025.

Climate-oriented trade agreements have the potential to promote trade of and demand for lower-emissions goods by setting green standards and benchmarks. But they come with many complexities, including concerns over alienating trade partners, protectionism and the risk of leaving uninvolved countries behind. As IRENA’s Breakthrough Agenda report outlines, successfully decarbonizing sectors like steel requires more inclusive dialogues on trade and greater cooperation involving all countries that are major producers or importers of industrial products. These agreements should be equitable and inclusive by prioritizing support for trade partners in developing countries in an effort to decarbonize their industries through investments in climate finance, technical assistance and capacity building.

Another set of policies that falls at the intersection of climate and trade are border carbon adjustments (BCAs). Numerous BCAs have been proposed, but the European Union’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism, or CBAM, is so far the only one  being implemented. To incentivize emissions reductions in manufacturing, and to maintain the competitiveness of domestic industries currently under the EU Emissions Trading System, CBAM aims to put a price on the emissions of carbon-intensive imports.

However, some countries have expressed concerns that CBAM is an exclusionary trade measure. One potential response to this criticism is to redirect revenue generated from border carbon adjustments toward decarbonization projects in the same countries paying the fees. The EU has also signaled the possibility of exemptions for goods from countries already covered by a carbon price. And while the legislation also mentions EU’s intent to support climate mitigation and adaptation in low- and middle-income countries, CBAM revenue is not currently earmarked to be used for such efforts.

Translating First Steps into Ambitious Action

Recent partnerships and collaborative initiatives are first steps toward international collaboration in industrial decarbonization. Continued cooperation across countries will help foster innovation, boost economies, reduce the cost of decarbonization technologies and slash the green premium of low-carbon products. This kind of global coordination also stands to improve harmonization of green standards, improve transparency on emissions, encourage decarbonization across the supply chain and create demand low-carbon goods traded across international borders. Finally, but critically, it can provide essential support to countries striving to meet development goals and help encourage an equitable transition in the industrial sector.

Several elements are essential for this movement to succeed, however. We must ensure that technological collaboration leaves no country behind. Countries must also develop harmonized trade standards to create a level playing field for all. Finance and investment vehicles that bring significant resources, and appropriate terms for scaling industrial decarbonization, are also critical. International cooperation strategies should tap into the power of collective negotiation, and harness the influence of wealthy countries and business innovators, to make possible — and even speed up — what would be an arduous task for any individual nation, company or industry to do on its own.

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wil.thomas@wri.org

How Are Countries Reporting Progress Toward Net-Zero Commitments?

1 semana 2 días ago
How Are Countries Reporting Progress Toward Net-Zero Commitments? alicia.cypress… Thu, 10/03/2024 - 12:05

A growing number of countries are setting political and policy commitments to achieve net-zero greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, with many aiming to reach net-zero emissions by 2050. As countries progress toward these commitments, it becomes increasingly important that they monitor, assess and report on their progress. Tracking progress toward net-zero emissions not only allows governments to improve short and long-term planning, but also promotes accountability and transparency, and fosters trust amongst stakeholders.

 WRI reviewed a variety of prominent net-zero reporting methodologies and a dozen national net-zero reporting processes to better understand how countries can report on progress towards their net-zero commitments. Our assessment identifies useful information for tracking net-zero progress, the commonalities between national monitoring and reporting net-zero processes and explores how countries can report their progress to the international community to signal increased ambition on net zero.

What Information Is Needed to Understand Net-Zero Progress?

Reporting on net-zero progress can be complex. Monitoring net GHG emissions alone is insufficient to fully assess and provide actionable information. Near-term sectoral and enabling factors such as finance, stakeholder engagement and governance, must also be monitored to demonstrate the credibility of net-zero targets and evaluate the direction of change.

 As a starting point, it is important for net-zero targets to be clearly defined with a specified scope and clear legal status. When net-zero targets are enshrined into law with specific timeframes and GHG emission reduction targets for specific sectors, national net-zero policies or roadmaps can be created and be used as a guide to measure progress. Once this is in place, two other supporting elements can be identified for monitoring:

  • Sector specific actions such as those in energy, industrial processes and product use, agriculture, forestry and other land use, and waste.
  • Cross-cutting enabling actions, which include actions across finance, governance, stakeholder engagement, carbon dioxide removal and just transition. Enabling actions are especially important to monitor as these actions help catalyze sectoral actions and can provide additional insight into whether policies and strategies are aligned with the net-zero target.

A number of different methodologies and frameworks for assessing net-zero progress have been established by organizations such as the Carbon Neutrality Coalition, European Climate Neutrality Observatory, Ecologic and IDDRI, Climate Action Tracker and Systems Change Lab, among several others. While elements of each framework vary, they share some common approaches to understanding and assessing net-zero progress. Many of these frameworks track both sectoral and cross-cutting, enabling actions and use an indicator-based approach for monitoring progress.

Transparent reporting on the use of carbon dioxide removal (CDR) for meeting net-zero targets is also important. Countries should specify separate targets for emission reductions and removals, disaggregation of emissions reduction target by sector, disaggregation of removal by form of CDR, and methodologies and assumptions used in line with Article 6 of the Paris Agreement. This clarity may allow for more direct assessments of progress, otherwise the specific role that CDR will play in achieving net zero may be unknown and lead to concerns that net-zero targets are greenwashing.  

In addition to monitoring cross-cutting enabling and sectoral actions to gauge net-zero progress, monitoring aspects of a ”just transition" can provide additional insights into how the transition to net zero is impacting society and assess whether the transition is occurring in a just and equitable manner. Notably, the term itself is context specific, can be highly political and may not be used in favor of other terms such as “ensuring social justice.” Depending on how the country chooses to measure its progress toward a just transition will ultimately depend on the country’s development priorities.

How are Countries Tracking Net-Zero Progress Nationally?

Under the Paris Agreement, countries are not required to set net-zero targets, therefore international requirements for reporting on net-zero progress do not exist. As a result, many countries implement their own national net-zero reporting processes and seek to integrate them into existing mitigation or climate policy tracking efforts, rather than initiate a separate monitoring process.

When reporting on net-zero progress, many countries include information on historic GHG emissions, progress toward net zero, next steps, priorities and recommendations for future implementation. Some reports also include projections of future emissions based on planned policies and additional measures. Reporting is generally led by the ministry responsible for climate change or, in some cases, an independent climate council or advisory body. Notably, not all countries with net-zero targets have fully elaborated their national arrangements for monitoring progress, reporting and review practices, or accountability and advisory frameworks.

Some examples of existing national net-zero reporting practices from Canada, Chile and the United Kingdom showcase some of the similarities and differences in reporting.

Canada

The Canadian Net-Zero Emissions Accountability Act (2021) outlines a reporting process, whereby the Minister of Environment and Climate Change must prepare a report for Parliament on the progress of their emissions reduction plan. This report outlines plans for each of their five-year national emissions reduction targets. Canada also utilizes a Net-Zero Advisory Body which provides independent advice, including annual reports on progress achieving the five-year national emissions reduction targets and net-zero emissions by 2050.  

Chile

The Climate Change Framework Law in Chile, sets a binding target to reach net-zero emissions by 2050, and decentralizes net-zero implementation, distributing responsibility across several government agencies. According to the new law, the Ministry of Environment must specify GHG emission limits for a variety of sources based on technology, sector or activity. The law also created a Council of Ministers for Sustainability and Climate Change to review climate policies and a Scientific Advisory Committee to provide advice on policy implementation and monitoring. Every two years, a National Climate Change Action Report must be developed to monitor and report on progress, whereas sectoral action plans must be reviewed and updated every five years.

United Kingdom

In the United Kingdom, the Climate Change Act of 2008, mandates the creation of a carbon budget every five years and detailed plans for how the budgets will be met. The Secretary of State is responsible for publishing annual statements of the country’s GHG emissions and reporting on whether the carbon budgets have been met. The UK’s Climate Change Committee, an independent body, is required to report to Parliament on the progress made in reducing GHGs and adapting to climate change impacts. In 2021, an independent assessment of the UK’s net-zero strategy published by the Climate Change Committee found that the strategy presents strong ambition and scope, but for its implementation to be successful the government would need to further elaborate sectoral and enabling policies and address demand-side measures.

How Can Countries Report Internationally on Their Net-Zero Progress?

Countries report under the Paris Agreement every two years (beginning in December 2024) through reports known as Biennial Transparency Reports (BTRs). The BTRs include information on GHG emissions inventories, progress toward Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), information on adaptation and climate change impacts, and on the financial, technological and capacity building support provided, needed and received. This leaves a transparency and accountability gap for assessing net-zero progress.

Countries could use the Paris Agreement’s Enhanced Transparency Framework (ETF) to voluntarily share information on their net-zero progress. These include:

  • Policies and Measures: Countries are to report on the “actions, policies and measures” that advance implementation of their NDC. These actions, policies and measures are likely to also be relevant to achieving the country’s net-zero target. When describing these policies and measures, countries could voluntarily include how these relate to progress towards their net-zero target.
  • Projections: Countries should expect to share projections for their future GHG emissions level, extending out 15 years. While the rules for the ETF make it clear that these projections are not to be used for assessing progress towards the countries NDC, information shared here could highlight whether GHG emissions and removals are trending toward net zero.
  • NDC Tracking: One of the core features of the ETF is the frequent reporting on progress made in implementing and achieving a country’s NDC. If the NDC is in alignment with a net-zero target, this may provide relevant information for assessing net-zero progress. Notably, this information, though useful, is unlikely to provide a full picture.
Next Steps

Tracking progress is an important next step after setting net-zero targets and remains essential to facilitate transparency and accountability for governments to meet their climate commitments. To enhance understanding and advance good practices for assessing progress, further research, dialogue and capacity building are needed. For example, researchers and the international community should further refine their expectations for international reporting on net-zero targets and support the establishment of processes for institutionalizing relevant reporting.

Countries with net-zero targets but without a defined net-zero tracking system may wish to engage with their peers from other countries to learn from their experiences and exchange lessons and good practices. These countries should specifically consider how this type of monitoring could be streamlined into existing reporting on national climate plans and what relevant processes can be put in place. Finally, countries with established net-zero targets and national reporting processes should take the lead on reporting their net-zero progress in the BTR to signal a strong commitment to the international community and transparency and accountability in climate action.

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alicia.cypress@wri.org

New Partnership Between Sustainable Energy for All and WRI Seeks to Accelerate Energy Access and the Energy Transition

1 semana 2 días ago
New Partnership Between Sustainable Energy for All and WRI Seeks to Accelerate Energy Access and the Energy Transition alicia.cypress… Thu, 10/03/2024 - 07:00

At the Clean Energy Ministerial on Oct. 3, 2024, in Foz do Iguaçu, Brazil, World Resources Institute (WRI) and Sustainable Energy for All (SEforAll) announced a strategic partnership to accelerate the achievement of Sustainable Development Goal 7: access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all. The partnership aims to support global efforts to reach the 760 million people worldwide who currently lack access to electricity and the 2 billion people using polluting fuels for cooking. Access to clean, affordable and reliable power is essential for human health, education and economic prosperity.

Collaboration between WRI and SEforAll will focus on developing and providing data, tools and strategic communication across five key areas: energy access, energy transitions, energy efficiency, sustainable cooling and clean cooking. The partnership will advance the development of sectoral tools and data resources such as OnSSET, OnStove, Energy Access Explorer and Tracking SDG7 research, to support developing countries to make data-driven decisions and integrated energy plans based on the best available data and energy models. Several initiatives will also be convened under the partnership, including African Energy Dialogues, Mission Efficiency, Cooling for All and Cool Coalition.

“Energy is the lynchpin for 75% of the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals, and WRI and SEforAll share a common mission to achieve them by 2030,” said Jennifer Layke, WRI’s global director for energy. “Data-driven decision-making and sharing knowledge are essential to both organizations. By working together, we can improve our collective impact and increase access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all.”

Brian Dean, director of energy transition at SEforALL, said: “As a team, we can bring greater impact. At SEforALL, we work with many partners to ensure everyone, everywhere can live a dignified life on a healthy planet, powered by sustainable energy. We are thankful to WRI for leading the charge to strengthen and broaden our partnership to deliver greater progress on sustainable energy that supports achieving the UN Sustainable Development Goals.”

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alicia.cypress@wri.org

RELEASE: P4G Awards $5.2 Million to 12 New Partnerships to Advance Innovative Climate Solutions

1 semana 2 días ago
RELEASE: P4G Awards $5.2 Million to 12 New Partnerships to Advance Innovative Climate Solutions casey.skeens@wri.org Thu, 10/03/2024 - 04:00

WRI’s Partnering for Green Growth and the Global Goals (P4G) initiative will provide grant funding and technical support to help the startups in these partnerships become investment-ready

WASHINGTON (October 3, 2024) — Today, Partnering for Green Growth and the Global Goals 2030 (P4G) announced $5.2 million in grant funding and technical assistance for 12 new startup partnerships in Africa, Latin America and Southeast Asia. This funding will help early-stage businesses become investment-ready, enabling them to scale climate solutions like EV charging infrastructure, biofuel production, water efficient irrigation systems and climate-smart agriculture. 

By 2027, these partnerships aim to collectively leverage $14.5 million in investments, create over 1,400 new jobs, benefit about 316,000 people and reduce or avoid around 211,000 metric tons of carbon emissions. 

“These partnerships showcase the incredible potential of early-stage startups,” said Robyn McGuckin, Executive Director, P4G. “With the right support and financing, these innovators can lead the way in driving climate-friendly business models, championing local solutions and inspiring others. At P4G, we believe that supporting these initiatives is not just good for the planet; it's also a smart economic strategy for a sustainable future.”    

The green economy presents a $23 trillion opportunity in climate-smart investments across emerging markets. However, climate startups in low- to middle-income countries often struggle to secure funding, as they are typically too large for microcredit and local bank loans but too small and risky for international investors, all while facing regulatory challenges and high commercial uncertainty.  

To help bridge this gap, P4G connects early-stage startups to nonprofit, administrative and ESG organizations to collaborate on advancing crucial climate mitigation and adaptation solutions. The 12 new P4G partnerships will focus their efforts on Colombia, Ethiopia, Indonesia, Kenya, South Africa and Vietnam.  

One of these partnerships, Grekkon Limited and Access2innovation, will use their funds to improve water resilience for smallholder farmers in Kenya. Their products, which include high-quality boreholes and irrigation systems, will help Kenyan growers adapt to and mitigate the effects of climate change.  

“Our goal is to boost agricultural productivity and resilience in these communities, reduce crop loss and improve water quality, security and economic stability,” said Wamae Mwangi, Director, Grekkon Limited. “With P4G's support, we can provide climate-smart solutions that are vital for farmers facing water scarcity and soil challenges.” 

Additional partnerships receiving funding include:

  • Irri Hub Ke and Impacc gGmBH – end-to-end solar-powered irrigation solutions for smallholder farmers in Kenya.
  • Surplus Indonesia and Greeneration Foundation – a food rescue app that allows the food industry to sell overstocked and imperfect produce at discounted rates in Indonesia.
  • STROOM and Greater Stellenbosch Trust – cargo e-bikes for last-mile deliveries in South Africa. 

Startup partnerships also benefit from P4G’s National Platforms — multistakeholder government and industry coalitions of government and industry — that provide networking opportunities, facilitate policy dialogues and host workshops to help create more favorable market conditions for climate-focused businesses. 

P4G received 89 applications for this round of funding. An Independent Grants Committee, comprising climate and impact investing experts, evaluated the shortlisted partnerships to select the final recipients.  

Since its launch in 2018, P4G has evaluated over 1,000 applications and funded 103 partnerships that have leveraged nearly $100 million in investment, generating more than 1,000 jobs and preventing more than 10 million metric tons of carbon emissions. P4G partnerships focus on providing products and services in climate-smart agriculture, food loss and waste reduction, water resilience, zero-emission mobility, and renewable energy. 

View the full list of the 12 partnerships and their solutions.  

About P4G  

P4G contributes to green and inclusive growth in low- and middle-income countries by helping early-stage businesses become investment ready and matching them with a supporting public-private National Platforms to enable country climate transitions in food, water and energy systems. P4G provides grants and technical assistance to startup partnerships; contributes to enabling systems improvements in partner countries through National Platforms; and shares learning on green entrepreneur ecosystems and solutions. Hosted by World Resources Institute and funded by Denmark, the Netherlands and the Republic of Korea, P4G implements in Colombia, Ethiopia, Kenya, South Africa, Indonesia and Vietnam. To learn more, visit www.p4gpartnerships.org.  

About World Resources Institute  

WRI is a trusted partner for change. Using research-based approaches, we work globally and in focus countries to meet people’s essential needs; to protect and restore nature; and to stabilize the climate and build resilient communities. We aim to fundamentally transform the way the world produces and uses food and energy and designs its cities to create a better future for all. Founded in 1982, WRI has nearly 2,000 staff around the world, with country offices in Brazil, China, Colombia, India, Indonesia, Mexico and the United States and regional offices in Africa and Europe. Learn more at WRI.org and on X @WorldResources

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STATEMENT: The EU Deforestation Regulation Should Not be Delayed

1 semana 3 días ago
STATEMENT: The EU Deforestation Regulation Should Not be Delayed casey.skeens@wri.org Wed, 10/02/2024 - 14:56

BRUSSELS (October 2, 2024) – Today, the European Commission proposed delaying the enforcement of its landmark EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) by twelve months, pushing the deadline to December 30, 2025.  

The law seeks to ban the import of seven commodities—coffee, cocoa, soy, beef, palm oil, rubber and wood—along with certain derived products linked to deforestation or forest degradation from entering or being traded in the European market.

Following is a statement by Stientje van Veldhoven, Vice-President and Regional Director for Europe of World Resources Institute:  

“The European Commission's proposal to delay the enforcement of the EU Deforestation Regulation is disappointing. It sends the wrong signal to national governments, both within and outside the EU, as well as to business partners, suggesting that the creation of a deforestation-free commodity market can wait.

“Given that the EU’s imports of commodities account for 13-16% of global deforestation, despite representing only 7% of the world’s population, its environmental footprint and consumer influence are disproportionately large. The world’s forests cannot afford another year without stronger protection.

“While we recognize the challenges the regulation poses for some producing countries, particularly for smallholder farmers, the focus should have been on easing implementation and ensuring greater support for tropical-producing nations. Most disappointing is the push from EU countries to delay enforcement, despite having more technical and financial resources to establish supply chain monitoring and traceability.

“However, it is good to see that the proposal does not amend any substantive rules of the regulation. If this does not lead to further delays, we are still en route to a better protection of our global forests from harmful trade.” 

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How Countries Can Use Behavior Change to Further Reduce Emissions

1 semana 3 días ago
How Countries Can Use Behavior Change to Further Reduce Emissions alicia.cypress… Wed, 10/02/2024 - 08:00

The fight against climate change may be missing a critical strategy: incorporating strategic policies that encourage people to integrate climate-friendly activities, like eating a plant-based diet or lessening reliance on gas-fueled cars, into their daily lives. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), adopting comprehensive behavior changes could cut climate-harming greenhouse gas emissions by 40% to 70% by 2050 compared to current national policies. Making sustainable living easy and affordable is essential for driving these reductions and securing our planet’s future.

New WRI research is the first to investigate the overlap between national climate commitments, known as nationally determined contributions (NDCs), and more sustainable consumer behavior. It examines how — and whether — 19 of the world’s highest-emitting countries, plus the European Union, are using their NDCs to drive pro-climate behavior shifts. 

Specifically, it focuses on nine high-impact behaviors, identified by Project Drawdown, a non-governmental organization that advances effective science-based climate solutions. The behaviors are aimed at significantly cutting harmful climate emissions in the energy, transport and food sectors by 2050 if widely adopted.

These behaviors, referred to as “Priority Practices,” include reducing air travel and promoting more sustainable local transport, such as using electric or hybrid vehicles, relying on mass transportation, or encouraging more active mobility like walking or biking. Additional practices include reducing food loss and waste and eating more plant-based foods. Other behaviors include adopting residential roofing solar for home energy needs, using clean cookstoves and switching to more energy-efficient appliances.     

The results reveal progress but significant opportunities for action. Here are three key findings:

1) Many Critical Consumer Behaviors Are Not Included in National Climate Plans

While some of the highest-emitting countries are using their national climate commitments to support sustainable living, there are critical gaps.

Of the nine behaviors we looked at in 19 high-emitting countries and the EU, most were not mentioned at all in their NDCs. However, we did find that a few were mentioned far more than others:

  • Encouraging electric or hybrid vehicles (80% of countries).
  • Promoting public transport use (75% of countries).
  • Reducing household energy consumption through insulation or efficient appliances (60% of countries).

Countries like China, the United Kingdom and Japan are leading the way here. For instance, China's ambitious plan to promote electric vehicles includes substantial investments in charging infrastructure and incentives for consumers. The UK has set a target to end the sale of new gas and diesel cars by 2030, backed by significant investments in electric vehicle infrastructure.

This is a good start, but it’s also a missed opportunity for many of the top-emitting countries. For example, Russia and Iran do not mention any of these important shifts. We also find that the EU, Brazil, Australia, Japan and Thailand are at the bottom of the list, with the key behavior shifts appearing only once or twice in their national climate commitments.

Behavioral change policies can be an extremely powerful tool to make transformational shifts toward lowering greenhouse gas emissions, yet most countries are failing to use them. For example, shifting away from cars toward walking or biking is critical for a sustainable future, but only five of the world’s 20 highest emitters are using their NDCs to help catalyze this shift. This is a missed opportunity.

2) Impactful Sectors Like Air Travel and Food Are Often Overlooked

Our analysis reveals a mismatch between the practices included in NDCs and their potential impact on emissions reduction. Specifically, food-related behaviors and reducing air travel — despite their high emissions reduction potential — are among the least-addressed in NDCs.

The potential of food-related behaviors is particularly striking. A 2018 study in Science found that moving to a plant-based diet could reduce food-related emissions by up to 73%. However, among the 20 national climate commitments we evaluated, only the UK explicitly mentions promoting sustainable diets.

Policies to reduce air travel, meanwhile, are absent from all the NDCs we analyzed. This is a missed opportunity since aviation accounts for about 2.5% of global carbon dioxide emissions and is one of the fastest-growing sources of emissions. Policy remedies do exist: While not part of France’s NDC, the country’s 2023 ban on short-haul flights where a rail alternative under two and a half hours exists is an example that others might follow.

3) Climate Plans Should Rely on More Tools to Drive Behavior Change

To encourage climate-friendly behavior changes, behavioral strategies (which we refer to as tools) are needed to help put policies into action. The IPCC identified eight behavior change tools, which WRI streamlined into three to better evaluate how behavior change policies are being implemented in NDCs.  

These three tools are:

  • Enhanced information, which helps people make sustainable choices by providing sustainability information in intuitive and accessible ways. For example, energy labels on appliances can act as shortcuts, guiding people toward more energy-efficient appliances.
  • Incentives and disincentives, which include financial and non-monetary incentives that can motivate consumers to pick sustainable products or actions making those choices more attractive, fun or attainable. Disincentives, like congestion pricing, discourage behaviors by adding extra barriers.
  • Improving the decision-making context, which involves changing the choice environment so that sustainable choices are easier or more appealing. It can include both “choice architecture” (how choices are presented, such as making plant-based options more eye-catching on a menu) and “choice infrastructure” (changes to the physical environment, such as building more protected bike lanes).

Each of these tools can be applied both at the downstream (individual consumer) level and at the upstream (policy or business) level. For example, while personalized information might involve giving individuals feedback on their energy consumption through smart meters (downstream), it could also include policies requiring carbon footprint labels on products (upstream).

Our analysis shows that NDCs are currently leaning on only one of the tools to move behaviors within a given sector. This, too, represents a missed opportunity.

For example, in the transport and mobility sector almost all NDCs promote behavior change by improving the decision-making context, such as by investing in EV charging infrastructure. This is a strong start, but efforts would be enhanced by also offering incentives like subsidies on e-bikes and electric vehicles as many U.S. city, state and federal policies have done. Or by integrating enhanced information into policies. For example, Australia’s NDCs provide details on their real-world emissions testing program that gives consumers clear cost insights on car emissions, making it easier for car buyers to choose a greener vehicle and save money in the long run.

In the energy sector, we find that almost all NDCs are leaning on enhanced information by providing personalized feedback on energy use. Again, this is a strong start, with evidence that such efforts can reduce household energy consumption. But there’s an opportunity to leverage a wider range of behavior change tools for greater impact. For instance, providing incentives and disincentives can also be impactful. The UK’s NDC discusses renewable heat incentive rewards for small-scale solar energy, while India’s direct benefit transfer scheme offers subsidies for cleaner fuel.

Harnessing Behavior Change Opportunities 

At last year’s UN climate change summit (COP28), the first-ever Global Stocktake assessed the world’s progress toward limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees C (2.7 degrees F), helping to provide guidance for the next round of NDCs due in 2025. As the date approaches and countries update their national climate commitments, taking behavior into consideration will not just make countries´ NDCs more ambitious, but lead to more significant emissions reductions. Specifically, countries should do the following:

  • Include detailed and well-funded policies that focus on country-specific demand-side emissions reductions to support pro-climate behavior change at scale.
  • Consider overlooked impactful shifts — specifically dietary shifts, reducing air travel and reducing consumer food waste. There are models for countries to follow. For example, South Korea's pay-as-you-throw system helps reduce food waste by charging residents based on the amount of waste they generate and dispose of.
  • Consider changing behavior using a variety of tools, and multiple tools used in conjunction. For instance, the Netherlands' approach to promoting cycling uses all three: providing clear signage and cycling maps (enhanced information), offering tax benefits for cycling to work (incentives) and investing in extensive cycling infrastructure (improving decision-making context).

Some countries are starting to weave behavior change into their NDCs, but there's plenty of room to improve. By tapping into diverse behavior change strategies and homing in on high-impact practices, nations can leverage NDCs to catalyze behavior change, unlocking greater climate ambition and results.

behavior-change-plant-based-groceries.jpg Climate Tracking Climate Action NDC climate change International Climate Action Type Finding Exclude From Blog Feed? 0 Projects Authors Mindy Hernandez Sophie Attwood Alex Simpkins
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STATEMENT: UK Eliminates Coal from Power Generation

1 semana 4 días ago
STATEMENT: UK Eliminates Coal from Power Generation casey.skeens@wri.org Tue, 10/01/2024 - 09:00

LONDON (October 1, 2024) – Today, the United Kingdom has officially closed its last coal-fired power plant, marking the end of coal use to generate electricity in the country. This closure comes a year earlier than initially anticipated. The UK had already dramatically reduced coal’s share of the power mix, from 39% in 2012 to just 2% in 2020.  

The UK is among several countries that have rapidly reduced coal use in recent years, according to WRI analysis. Its pace of coal phase-out closely mirrors the reductions needed globally to keep the world aligned with 1.5 degrees of warming. It is estimated that the world will need to scale down coal power from 35.5% of electricity generation in 2023 to 4% by 2030.  

Following is a statement from Jennifer Layke, Global Director, Energy, World Resources Institute:  

“The UK spearheaded the coal-powered industrial revolution over 250 years ago and is now demonstrating the viability of a 21st-century clean power transformation.  

“Currently, the UK is leading the way with impressive speed in phasing out coal power generation. Policies such as carbon pricing and renewable auctions helped bring scale to the renewable energy economy. Industrial coal use remains, but the country also set records last year with electrification via heat pumps in both industrial and home use, cutting the need for coal and fossil gas in heating. To continue progress, the government must now turn its sights to policies and timelines that transition British industry away from oil and fossil gas. Acting on recent discussions of increasing windfall taxation and reducing subsidies could accelerate investments in clean alternatives.

“Bringing affordable, reliable clean energy to all people is a goal all governments should deliver. The UK’s coal power phaseout sets a strong example for others and marks a significant step in eliminating coal use entirely.

“This latest announcement represents a major step by one of the world’s largest economies, illustrating that political will, coupled with a comprehensive strategy, can propel countries much closer to a zero-carbon future.” 

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5 Things Countries Can Do this Year to Stop Biodiversity Loss

1 semana 5 días ago
5 Things Countries Can Do this Year to Stop Biodiversity Loss margaret.overh… Mon, 09/30/2024 - 09:00

Nature is disappearing at a terrifying rate. In 2023, the world lost 10 football (soccer) fields' worth of tropical forest per minute. Wildlife populations have shrunk by more than 70% over the last 50 years. Today, around 1 million plant and animal species are at risk of extinction, many within decades.

This loss affects every person on the planet.

On the frontlines are 1.6 billion people, many among the world's poorest, who depend on forests for their livelihoods. Billions more rely on the ocean and other natural ecosystems for food, jobs and resources. Around half of the world's GDP comes from industries that depend on nature.

At the same time, nature loss is both accelerating climate change and leaving communities more exposed to dangerous impacts like floods and drought.

In October, leaders from around the world will gather at the 16th UN Biodiversity Conference (COP16) in Cali, Colombia to address these growing threats. The key question at COP16 is how countries will fulfill their pledge to protect at least 30% of the world's land and water and restore 30% of degraded ecosystems by 2030, as they agreed in 2022 under the landmark Global Biodiversity Framework.

Countries are expected to submit new national biodiversity plans at COP16 detailing how they'll meet the Framework's goals. For these plans to succeed, they must chart a course that protects and restores nature while simultaneously strengthening economies and securing enough food, water and resources for all people to thrive.

Signs of Hope Amid an Escalating Crisis

Some countries have made important strides on tackling deforestation and land degradation in recent years, demonstrating the power of strong political will and local action.

Brazil — home to over 60% of the Amazon Rainforest — reduced its forest loss by 36% in 2023 thanks to more robust forest protection measures and law enforcement under President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Colombia slashed its primary forest loss by nearly 50% the same year. Over 30 African governments have committed to restoring 100 million hectares of degraded land by 2030, which thousands of local entrepreneurs and smallholder farmers are now working on.

These efforts often yield benefits for nature, people and the climate alike. Through the Great Blue Wall initiative, Seychelles and nine other African countries are working to conserve and restore coastal and marine ecosystems like mangroves, seagrass meadows and coral reefs. The initiative aims to create millions of "blue" jobs linked to the ocean economy and remove and store 100 million tons of carbon dioxide by 2030, alongside contributing to the world's nature and biodiversity goals.

But despite these encouraging examples, global trendlines are still headed in the wrong direction. WRI research estimates that by 2050, an area of land nearly twice the size of India will be converted to agriculture, while an area the size of the continental United States could be converted to meet increased demand for wood — squeezing out ecosystems that are essential for protecting biodiversity, storing carbon and sustaining livelihoods.

A flock of greater flamingos at the Ras Al Khor wetland reserve in Dubai. To protect global biodiversity, countries must do more to conserve and restore critical wildlife habitats. Photo by Aleksandra Tokarz/Alamy Stock Photo 5 Key Areas for Progress at COP16

As countries grapple with competing demands for finite land and resources, COP16 provides an opportunity to deliver clearer plans for tackling these interconnected challenges together. Leaders should aim to drive progress in five key areas:

1) Deliver strong and equitable National Biodiversity Plans

This year marks the first biodiversity conference since countries adopted the Global Biodiversity Framework at COP15 in 2022, committing to "halt and reverse biodiversity loss" by conserving 30% of land and water and restoring 30% of all degraded ecosystems by 2030 (known as the "30x30" goals).

COP16 is the 16th Conference of the Parties to the UN Convention on Biological Diversity. At each 'biodiversity COP,' countries that joined the treaty gather to advance solutions to protect the world's species and ecosystems. A separate Convention of the Parties is held to negotiate international action on climate change. Learn more about this year's 'climate COP' (COP29) here.

Countries are due to submit National Biodiversity Strategies and Action Plans (NBSAPs) by COP16 outlining how they'll contribute to these targets. So far, just 9 countries and the EU have done so.

By COP16, all countries need to step up and deliver clear, ambitious strategies. While each country's plan will be unique to its context, all should identify priority areas for protection and restoration in line with the 30x30 goals. They should also link national biodiversity efforts to city- and state-led ones; increase private sector collaboration; and tackle incentives and subsidies that drive short-term land and resource use. For these plans to work, policies to protect nature need to also help create new jobs and more inclusive local economies.

While every country must do more to protect nature and biodiversity, some will have an outsized impact on the world.

The Congo Basin, Amazon and Southeast Asia regions house 80% of the world's tropical forests and two-thirds of its terrestrial biodiversity. These forests are vital not just to nearby communities, but to people everywhere, from stabilizing the climate and regulating rainfall to supporting global food supplies. Countries in these areas especially need to demonstrate bold ambition, yet many are developing nations that will need support from wealthier countries to do so.

2) Mainstream nature in policies on food and water

The global food system is the single biggest driver of biodiversity loss, with agricultural expansion rapidly devouring natural landscapes around the world.

As the global population grows, countries must work to increase food supplies without converting more forests or natural lands into farms. This will require greatly boosting yields on existing agricultural land, including through sustainable farming methods like crop rotation and agroforestry; reducing food loss and waste throughout the supply chain; and, in high-income countries, shifting from meat-heavy diets toward more plant-based foods.

In Malaysia, a large swath of tropical forest has been cleared for an oil palm plantation. Agriculture and food production is the biggest cause of global biodiversity loss. Aerial Imaging/Alamy Stock Photo

Food production also consumes most of the water that humans use. With one-quarter of the global population already facing extremely high water stress, countries must work to manage water more sustainably so that thirsty croplands don't exacerbate water shortages and put pressure on ecosystems.

Countries should link policies on nature protection to policies on food systems and water security in both their national biodiversity plans, due by COP16, and their national climate commitments (NDCs), due in early 2025.

For developing countries with growing food demands and agriculture-dependent economies, land protection must be politically and economically viable. Wealthy countries and development banks can commit finance and technical support to help these countries boost agricultural development in return for protecting their tropical forests and ecosystems.

3) Provide more finance and incentives to support nature and biodiversity goals

There is currently a $700 billion gap between annual funding for nature and what's needed by 2030 to protect and restore ecosystems. Moreover, many of the world's most biodiverse ecosystems — and biggest carbon sinks — are in developing countries that cannot save them without far more financial support.

Under the Global Biodiversity Framework, countries committed to eliminate or repurpose $500 billion in subsidies that are harming nature, such as fossil fuel subsidies. They also promised to mobilize a collective $200 billion per year for conservation and restoration from both public and private sources. Of this, developed countries committed $20 billion per year for developing countries by 2025, rising to $30 billion by 2030. Fulfilling these commitments will be essential to driving progress on nature and biodiversity protection.

Bringing in more private sector finance will require incentives, which can come from policy and regulation as well as market-based strategies to make investments in nature more attractive. But this should not substitute for shifting harmful subsidies and delivering international public finance to the countries that need it most.

4) Recognize the land rights and the authority of Indigenous Peoples and other frontline communities

Indigenous Peoples and local communities are essential environmental stewards: They manage about half the world's land, including 36% of its intact forests — areas critical to global biodiversity. Research by WRI and others shows that lands managed by Indigenous Peoples have lower deforestation rates and are some of the most important carbon storehouses on the planet. Yet few traditional lands are legally recognized as belonging to these communities.

Fishermen from the Wagenya tribe in a dugout canoe on the Congo River. Around the world, Indigenous groups are critical stewards of land and biodiversity, but their land rights are often not officially recognized or protected. Photo by imageBROKER.com GmbH & Co. KG/Alamy Stock Photo

The Global Biodiversity Framework includes numerous calls to recognize Indigenous Peoples and local communities' rights. At COP16, the question will be how governments turn this language into policy. This can include securing land tenure for Indigenous Peoples and local communities; including their voices and traditional knowledge systems in policy decisions; and delivering more finance to empower communities as critical natural resource stewards, as promised at the 2021 UN climate conference (COP26).

It is also critical that countries take steps to address systemic violence and intimidation against frontline communities working to protect ecosystems. In 2023, 166 people were killed defending lands and the environment in Latin America alone — nearly half of them were Indigenous people.

5) Effectively measure and track progress toward global targets

Monitoring is fundamental to making progress on nature and biodiversity goals. Transparent, independent tracking allows civil society to hold governments and businesses accountable. It can also help government agencies, local communities and businesses understand what's working and what's not, allowing them to continually adapt and improve their land management approaches.

The Global Biodiversity Framework included a detailed monitoring framework for tracking progress toward its goals. At COP16, countries must decide how to operationalize the monitoring framework, including what indicators will be tracked and where the data will come from.

The negotiations will be complex, but adopting a few core principles for effective monitoring could help provide a path forward. Specifically, monitoring should be transparent, cost-effective at scale, flexible and open source. Independent monitoring, like what Global Forest Watch does for deforestation, can play a critical role alongside official government monitoring systems to ensure accountability.

The Path Ahead

The biodiversity crisis didn't happen in a silo; its causes are inherently linked to the world's climate and development challenges. Its solutions are, too.

Policies to protect nature will only be successful if all people can access the food, water and other vital resources they need. Likewise, the world cannot halt climate change and protect people from its impacts without stopping deforestation and reviving critical ecosystems.

COP16 is just one stop on this journey. Over the next year, countries will have numerous opportunities to bring these issues together, including at the 2024 UN climate conference (COP29) in November and when they submit new national climate commitments in early 2025. At every juncture, leaders must seek a path that benefits people, nature and the climate — together.

amazon-brazil-reforestation.jpg Forests biodiversity COP16 deforestation Indigenous Peoples & Local Communities Type Commentary Exclude From Blog Feed? 0 Projects Authors Crystal Davis
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RELEASE: Re-Ciclo Wins Grand Prize in 2023-2024 WRI Ross Center Prize for Cities

2 semanas 3 días ago
RELEASE: Re-Ciclo Wins Grand Prize in 2023-2024 WRI Ross Center Prize for Cities casey.skeens@wri.org Wed, 09/25/2024 - 19:55

NEW YORK, NY (September 25, 2024) — World Resources Institute (WRI) is proud to announce that Re-Ciclo, an innovative waste recycling project from Fortaleza, Brazil, has been awarded the grand prize for the 2023-2024 WRI Ross Center Prize for Cities. The prestigious award, presented in New York City during Climate Week NYC, recognizes transformative urban projects that advance climate solutions and foster more sustainable and inclusive cities. Re-Ciclo was selected for its impactful approach to empowering and dignifying informal waste pickers, increasing recycling rates, and integrating sustainable transportation in Fortaleza.

Re-Ciclo was awarded the $250,000-grand prize by businessman and philanthropist Stephen M. Ross during a ceremony overlooking the East River in New York. “Recognizing successful urban initiatives and encouraging others to follow suit is essential for encouraging urban transformation,” said Ross, CEO of Related Ross, Founder of Related Companies and Chairman of the independent Prize Jury. “This cycle’s finalists demonstrate the leadership and innovation needed to guide the world toward a more sustainable future."

Led by the Fortaleza Science, Technology and Innovation Foundation (CITINOVA) and the city of Fortaleza, Re-Ciclo enhances recycling in a city that was struggling with poor solid waste management through door-to-door collection using specially designed electric cargo tricycles. The project transformed informal workers into city employees and established new infrastructure for waste collection and sorting. This has improved waste collection and notably increased social inclusion and economic opportunities for hundreds, while the use of electric vehicles supports the city’s sustainable transportation goals.  

“Cities are engines of transformation, playing a crucial role in unlocking the innovation needed to build a resilient future for billions of people,” said Ani Dasgupta, President and CEO of WRI. “Re-Ciclo is a powerful example of how the most effective urban solutions tap into our creativity and resourcefulness to solve multiple problems at once. I believe this winning project will inspire others globally to develop replicable approaches that improve people’s lives while fueling the just economic transition we need.”

Luiz Alberto Saboia, President of CITINOVA noted: “This international recognition underscores the importance of Fortaleza’s public policies on sustainability and climate crisis mitigation. The Re-Ciclo project not only advances environmental education and boosts recycling rates but also enhances the dignity of waste pickers, thereby improving the overall quality of life in the city. Our goal is to extend Re-Ciclo to every neighborhood in Fortaleza and inspire other cities to adopt similar practices.”

“The Re-Ciclo team and all of the outstanding finalists show what’s possible when passionate people believe in their cause and sustain their mission, even against steep odds,” said Rogier van den Berg, Global Director of WRI Ross Center for Sustainable Cities. “They prove that transformative change is not just a distant dream but a tangible reality.”

The 2023-2024 cycle of the Prize attracted 200 applicants from 148 cities and 62 countries. It focused on the theme of “Accelerating Momentum for Climate-Ready Communities,” identifying initiatives that address the magnitude and urgency of the climate crisis by expanding the speed, scope or scale of action to create inclusive, climate-ready cities.

Four runners-up received $25,000 each:

  • Rodrigo Bueno: Climate-Resilient Housing (Buenos Aires, Argentina): A collaborative project improving housing and integration of an informal neighborhood with enhanced energy efficiency and local entrepreneurship.
  • Kham River Restoration Initiative (Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar, India): An ecological restoration project revitalizing the Kham river, creating public spaces and renewing cultural values around the ecosystem.
  • Green Community Schoolyards (New York City, United States): A community co-developed project transforming asphalt schoolyards into green spaces to enhance flood resilience and community engagement.
  • The Climate Budget (Oslo, Norway): A pioneering project integrating greenhouse gas emissions tracking and reduction into the municipal budget process.

Jen Shin, Global Lead for the WRI Ross Center Prize for Cities, said: “Re-Ciclo exemplifies a just, equitable and people-centered solution driving profound change. Even alongside other excellent projects, we were deeply impressed by its demonstrated impacts and its potential for replication in other cities. It stood out as a beacon of transformation this year.”

Re-Ciclo joins previous grand prize winners Todos al Parque (Barranquilla, Colombia); Sustainable Food Production for a Resilient Rosario (Rosario, Argentina); and School Area Road Safety and Improvements (SARSAI) (Dar es Salaam, Tanzania).

About World Resources Institute

WRI is a trusted partner for change. Using research-based approaches, we work globally and in focus countries to meet essential needs, protect and restore nature, stabilize the climate, and build resilient communities. Founded in 1982, WRI has over 2,000 staff worldwide, with country offices in Brazil, China, Colombia, India, Indonesia, Mexico, and the United States, and regional offices in Africa and Europe. Learn more at WRI.org and on X @WorldResources.

About WRI Ross Center for Sustainable Cities

WRI Ross Center for Sustainable Cities is World Resources Institute’s program dedicated to shaping a future where cities work better for everyone. Together with partners around the world, we help create resilient, inclusive, low-carbon places that are better for people and the planet. Our network of more than 500 experts working from Brazil, China, Colombia, Ethiopia, India, Indonesia, Kenya, the Netherlands, Mexico, Turkey and the United States combine research excellence with on-the-ground impact to make cities around the world better places to live. More information at wri.org/cities or on X @WRIRossCities

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3 Businesses Transforming Food Waste into Profit

2 semanas 3 días ago
3 Businesses Transforming Food Waste into Profit margaret.overh… Wed, 09/25/2024 - 10:00

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One-third of all food produced globally never gets eaten, whether it is lost along the supply chain or thrown away by households and businesses. Meanwhile, 1 in 10 people around the world don't get enough to eat.

It's a tragic irony with a devastating impact. People who could be fed are going hungry; food that could be saved is rotting in landfills releasing planet-warming emissions; and livelihoods and economies that could be thriving are taking financial losses to the tune of $1 trillion a year.

But what if food waste were seen as raw material?

Three startups working with WRI's Partnering for Green Growth and the Global Goals 2030 (P4G) — an initiative that helps early-stage climate businesses become investment ready — have built successful business models based on tackling food loss and waste. They are proving that it's possible to turn inedible or surplus food into profit while simultaneously creating local jobs, reducing hunger and avoiding harmful emissions.

With more political and financial backing, models like these could be scaled to help tackle food waste and food security challenges around the globe.

Chanzi Turns Food Waste into Sustainable Feed and Fertilizer

In 2019, Sune Mushendwa and Andrew Wallace joined forces to create Chanzi, a company that uses fly larvae to convert food waste into sustainable, affordable protein for animal feed and fertilizer.

It all starts with sourcing: Chanzi, which began in Tanzania and has since expanded, contracts with local waste management companies (such as Taka Taka Solutions in Kenya) and even started its own (Okota, in Tanzania) to ensure a steady, high-quality supply of organic waste. It also set up waste separation schemes in local markets to gather spoiled crops from vendors and smallholder farmers and sources waste from local companies, such as food processors and breweries.

People pick through large piles of produce at a market in Arusha, Tanzania. Chanzi has set up waste separation schemes at local markets to collect spoiled crops that would otherwise be destined for the landfill. Photo by robertharding/Alamy Stock Photo

The collected waste is then fed to black soldier fly larvae on Chanzi's insect farms, which are harvested and processed into high-protein, low-carbon animal feed that can be fed to poultry and other animals, including fish and pigs. The feed is both cheaper for farmers and more sustainable than traditional options like soymeal and fishmeal, which contribute to deforestation and overfishing.

The only byproduct of this process is insect manure, a fertilizer that Chanzi distributes to smallholder farmers at a price point 80% below synthetic fertilizer to help increase their crop yields.

A key factor in Chanzi's ability to scale is its production model, which relies on a mix of automated and labor intensive-activities that is specifically tailor-made for the African context — both allowing for profitability and creating new jobs for people who need them.

"We're a fairly labor-intensive business, especially when it comes to collecting and sorting the waste. And that's employing people from marginalized communities, people involved in waste collection and management, and waste pickers." -Andrew Wallace, Co-founder, Chanzi

To date, Chanzi has collected more than 10,000 tons of organic waste in Tanzania and Kenya, benefiting more than 6,000 farmers through fertilizer distribution and training. It has created about 800 jobs for local people through employment in its facilities and construction-related work, offering much-needed employment opportunities for youth and women. And Chanzi's work has prevented more than 250 metric tons of methane from being released into the atmosphere — equivalent to removing over 1,000 cars from the road for a year.

Chanzi's long term vision is to replicate its model across sub-Saharan Africa and help dozens of cities reach a point where they are sending zero organic waste to landfills.

EatCloud Helps Surplus Food Reach Those in Need

Donating unsold food from stores and restaurants to those in need is a powerful strategy to fight hunger and avoid waste; in the United States alone, restaurants produce more than 915,000 tons of food waste every year. But redistributing food effectively is a challenge. There are liability concerns from the food industry, existing food and tax policies that make donations challenging, and food banks have limited capacity to engage with restaurants and grocery stores.

Two people load donated food onto a truck for transport. Photo courtesy of EatCloud

EatCloud, a Colombian-origin startup led by Jorge Correa, offers a digital platform to make donating food easier at scale. To automate the redistribution process (for which retailers pay a monthly fee), EatCloud uses artificial intelligence to connect the entire food ecosystem — supermarkets, convenience stores, restaurants, hotels, catering services and even farmers — with food bank networks and community nonprofits. Surplus food, still in good condition but which cannot be sold, is announced through the EatCloud app to local food banks or social organizations that can collect and deliver it to vulnerable people.

Since its launch in 2020, customer data analyzed by EatCloud shows that the company has redistributed more than 40,000 tons of unsold food in Colombia and Mexico, equivalent to 92 million meals. Keeping this food out of landfills has avoided more than 85,000 tons of carbon emissions, equivalent to about 10,000 U.S. homes' energy emissions for a year. Customers in the food industry have saved more than $39 million through logistics savings and tax benefits.

Stacks of surplus food donated through EatCloud's platform, which connects retailers with food banks and other organizations working to fight hunger. Photo courtesy of EatCloud

The company is also collaborating closely on zero-hunger efforts with city and national government agencies in Colombia and Mexico. It acts as a connector between food donors and recipients and helps governments track the impact of their food security and surplus management programs.

This year, EatCloud won the International Award for Best Practices in Sustainable Development, promoted by UN-Habitat and Dubai, and is a finalist in the Seoul Smart Cities Prize for its Zero Hunger alliance with the city ​​of Medellin, Colombia. Looking ahead, the company is working to expand its operations to 10 countries and develop strategies to help local governments achieve their food security and waste reduction goals.

WasteX Uses Waste to Boost Farmers' Yields

Agricultural waste — byproducts like crop leaves and stalks and animal manure — can be a big challenge for farmers, leading to poor soil and water quality and increased carbon and methane emissions if left to break down. In countries around the world, many farmers burn agricultural waste leftover from the previous harvest to prepare their fields for the next planting season, which also worsens emissions and air quality.

WasteX helps farmers turn agricultural waste into biochar, a sustainable soil enhancer that can help reduce reliance on harmful chemical fertilizers. Photo courtesy of WasteX

Pawel Kuznicki, founder and CEO, launched WasteX in 2022 to help farmers in Southeast Asia convert their agricultural waste into higher-value products that also deliver a climate benefit. The company does this by offering farms and corn, rice and sawmills an end-to-end solution for turning waste into "biochar" — a charcoal-like substance that, when mixed with soil, can improve crop yields, increase soil water retention and improve fertilizer effectiveness. Biochar can replace a portion of the chemical fertilizers farmers traditionally use, which are highly carbon-intensive and can pollute waterways. It can also be added in small quantities to poultry feed to reduce pathogens and improve gut health.

Over a four-month product trial in Indonesia on 20 plots, WasteX found that adding biochar and reducing chemical fertilizer by 50% improved corn yields by as much as 95%, significantly increasing farmers' incomes. The company's proprietary technology also produces fewer emissions and is cheaper than similar technology from the U.S. or Europe.

"Lots of agricultural residue ends up being burned because farmers don't know they can create value out of their waste. We've found that farmers are keen to adopt new practices if they can see the benefits first-hand and appreciate someone supporting them with it." -Pawel Kuznicki, Founder & CEO, WasteX

WasteX operates facilities at partner locations and provides equipment and training directly to farmers, primarily in Indonesia. The company is intentionally working with local women's farmer groups, teaching them how to apply biochar to chili, tomato and other crops and improve their yields. From January to September of 2024, WasteX transformed 38 tons of waste into 14 tons of biochar, avoiding almost 20 tons of carbon emissions. By 2025, the company aspires to remove more than 1,000 tons of carbon emissions annually.

Women farmers in East Java, Indonesia apply biochar to crop rows. Photo courtesy of WasteX

WasteX has also been endorsed by Carbon Standards International, allowing its clients to generate carbon credits without going through the lengthy and costly certification process. WasteX can sell these carbon credits to international buyers and share the proceeds with farmers using its equipment.

To Succeed and Scale, Food Loss and Waste Solutions Need More Funding

These businesses are making a real impact: reducing food waste, cutting emissions, tackling hunger and supporting livelihoods around the world. In all three cases, significant financial support was critical to their success and scale-up: the three companies have received more than $7 million in commercial investments and grants combined, signaling a growing confidence in their business models.

But food waste solutions have not received the same level of buy-in on a broader scale. It would take around $48-$50 billion per year to address food loss and waste globally; today, relevant solutions receive only about $0.1 billion a year in climate-related finance. This is less than 1% of tracked investment in agriculture and food systems writ large, which are already severely underfunded.

Startups in low- and middle-income countries often face a host of challenges attracting the investment needed to launch and grow their businesses and make an impact. They may lack the expertise needed to prove and document their business's viability for investors, the funds to invest in impact monitoring and measurement, or knowledge about the local policy or regulatory environment. There is also a lack of access to good quality finance that is structured for startups working in low and middle-income countries.

WRI's P4G initiative helps address some of these challenges by providing grant funding and technical assistance to early-stage climate startups to help them become investment ready. Through this work, P4G has found that investing in businesses which tangibly improve lives and the environment can create a virtuous cycle: By supporting social, climate and environmental goals, businesses can garner political backing from local and national governments. This in turn allows them to contribute to policy interventions that improve the market environment — not just for themselves, but also for others in the sector. This increases the competitiveness of the entire sector while reducing perceived risks for investors and enabling finance for more startups.

Unlocking a Zero Food Loss and Waste Future

Chanzi, EatCloud and WasteX are proof that food loss and waste reduction can be a viable, scalable business — and that food systems solutions are especially effective when they are rooted in the local context and can show tangible benefits to residents.

With the right policy environments and investors willing to broaden their risk appetite and portfolios, these kinds of solutions can help propel the world into a more food secure future.

WRI's P4G initiative connects investors with pipelines of investable locally led climate startups. Early-stage businesses can apply to P4G's open call for partnerships to receive support.

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margaret.overholt@wri.org

RELEASE: World Leaders Call for All Ocean States to Join New Alliance For 100% Sustainable Ocean Management

2 semanas 3 días ago
RELEASE: World Leaders Call for All Ocean States to Join New Alliance For 100% Sustainable Ocean Management casey.skeens@wri.org Wed, 09/25/2024 - 08:00 Ocean Panel Welcomes UAE as Newest Member

 

NEW YORK (September 25, 2024) — Today, at the United Nations (UN) in New York City, world leaders and representatives from the High Level Panel for a Sustainable Ocean Economy (Ocean Panel) officially launched the ‘100% Alliance.’ This initiative calls on all coastal and ocean states to commit to the sustainable management of all ocean areas under national jurisdiction. The United Arab Emirates (UAE), the first country in the Middle East to commit, was welcomed as the Ocean Panel's newest member, now totaling 19 countries representing half of the world’s coastlines.

Led by the government of France in partnership with the Ocean Panel and coordinated by World Resources Institute (WRI), the 100% Alliance seeks ambitious global action in advance of the next UN Ocean Conference and beyond. By uniting around this shared goal and committing to 100% sustainable ocean management by 2030, countries will take a collective step forward in delivering the critical targets of Sustainable Development Goal 14 (Life Below Water).

The initiative comes at a vital time as the ocean — our planet’s largest ecosystem — is in a state of emergency due to climate change, pollution, and overfishing, along with the growing threat of sea-level rise, which endangers especially small island developing states (SIDS) and low-lying states. Despite these very real warnings, SDG14 remains the least-funded of all the 17 Sustainable Development Goals.  

“In June 2025, France, together with Costa Rica, will be hosting the third UN Ocean Conference in Nice. We will need concrete solutions and commitments to enhance the power of our ocean to fight climate change” said President of France, Emmanuel Macron. “Multi-partnerships for the Ocean will serve as a testament to the collective strength achieved when we unite, mobilizing the necessary funding to support on-the-ground actions and drive progress for our ocean and our planet. To protect the ocean’s long-term health, all coastal and ocean states must commit to sustainable management. That's why France is happy to lead this campaign into the UN Ocean Conference in Nice in June 2025.”

The Ocean Panel also published its second progress report today, announcing advancements towards 100% sustainable ocean management, as well as its 2030 priority goals. Since the launch of its ‘Transformations’ agenda four years ago, nine member countries have achieved a key milestone by implementing Sustainable Ocean Plans (SOPs), while four others are finalizing their first plans. With 14 founding members committed to developing SOPs by 2025, and other countries within five years of joining, the Ocean Panel is currently on track to meet its targets.

The report analyzes 26 priority actions from the ‘Transformations’ agenda, showing that member countries are making steady progress towards their 2030 goals. It highlights successes and candidly addresses challenges in achieving 100% sustainable ocean management, along with solutions implemented by member countries. 

“When the Ocean Panel declared its shared ambition to sustainably manage 100% of ocean areas within national jurisdictions, we knew the path would be challenging but right.” said Ocean Panel Co-chair and President of Palau, Surangel S. Whipps Jr. “This has been evident through our collaborations in the Pacific, with leaders committing to 100% effective sustainable ocean management of the Blue Pacific Continent. As we release this second progress report, it is clear that our hard work is beginning to pay off, paving the way for future generations.”

“The report shows clear progress. This gives me confidence and hope for the ocean's future.” said Jonas Gahr Støre, Prime Minister of Norway and Ocean Panel Co-chair. “As we move toward 100% sustainable ocean management, we are not only proving it can be done but also demonstrating how to do it. The path to a sustainable ocean economy is not straight forward, but as a global community, we can and must work together to make our ocean sustainable”.

Ocean Panel members also welcomed the UAE as its newest member, making it the first Middle Eastern country to commit to 100% sustainable ocean management. The UAE, which holds the outgoing UNFCCC COP presidency, has been a longstanding advocate for SDG14, working to increase ocean knowledge, champion ocean sustainability, maintain its global leadership in marine protected areas, tackle ocean waste and pollution and preserve marine fisheries.  

"The UAE is honored to join the Ocean Panel and work with like-minded partners to advance both the protection of nature and the sustainable development of ocean-dependent communities.” said His Highness Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, President of the United Arab Emirates. “With the recent increase in multilateral agreements in support of the ocean, including those agreed at COP28 in the UAE, we have a real opportunity to enhance policy, finance, and technology that preserves this vital resource for future generations."

“As the UAE's Sherpa to the Ocean Panel, I am privileged to contribute to a collective global effort that promotes sustainable ocean management. Joining as the first nation from the MENA region underscores our dedication to environmental leadership under the UAE Consensus," said Her Excellency Ms. Razan Al Mubarak, IUCN President and UN Climate Change High-Level Champion for COP28. "Our upcoming roles as hosts for the IUCN World Conservation Congress in 2025 and the UN Water Conference in 2026 exemplify our active participation in shaping a sustainable future for our oceans.”

“It is with great enthusiasm I welcome the United Arab Emirates to the Ocean Panel at a time when momentum is growing toward 100% sustainable ocean management.” said President Whipps Jr. “We know we cannot achieve a sustainable ocean economy if some areas of the ocean are managed sustainably while other areas are left open to exploitation. This is another step toward our 100% goal and safeguarding the ocean for generations to come.”  

“As the Ocean Panel continues to make progress toward a sustainable ocean economy, I am happy to see others take up this initiative for a more prosperous future for both people and planet.” said Prime Minister Støre. “I look forward to working with the United Arab Emirates, which has already shown strong commitment to the ocean, and to continue the work towards 100% sustainable ocean management.”

In their annual communiqué, the now 19 Ocean Panel leaders reaffirmed their commitment to their 2030 agenda by catalyzing finance, building capacity and knowledge, and working in partnership.” The communiqué sets out priorities leading up to the 2025 UN Ocean Conference, including mobilizing action on multilateral processes like the Agreement on the Conservation and Sustainable Use of Marine Biological Diversity of Areas Beyond National Jurisdiction (BBNJ) and the Agreement on Port State Measures to Prevent, Deter and Eliminate Illegal, Unreported and Unregulated (IUU) Fishing (PSMA).  

About the High Level Panel for a Sustainable Ocean Economy

Co-chaired by Norway and Palau, the Ocean Panel includes Australia, Canada, Chile, Fiji, France, Ghana, Indonesia, Jamaica, Japan, Kenya, Mexico, Namibia, Norway, Palau, Portugal, Seychelles, the United Kingdom, the United States of America and now the United Arab Emirates. Together, these 19 nations represent 50% of the world’s coastlines, 45% of global Exclusive Economic Zones, 21% of the world’s fisheries, 23% of the world’s shipping fleet. The Ocean Panel is supported by the UN Secretary-General’s Special Envoy for the Ocean. Based on the shared understanding of the need to improve the state of the ocean, the countries in the Ocean Panel are committed to producing national sustainable ocean plans with the aim of sustainably managing 100% of the ocean area under national jurisdiction. Learn more about the Ocean Panel here and find additional information about the 100% Alliance here.  

About World Resources Institute (WRI)

WRI serves as the Secretariat for the Ocean Panel. WRI is a trusted partner for change. Using research-based approaches, we work globally and in focus countries to meet people’s essential needs; to protect and restore nature; and to stabilize the climate and build resilient communities. We aim to fundamentally transform the way the world produces and uses food and energy and designs its cities to create a better future for all. Founded in 1982, WRI has nearly 2,000 staff around the world, with country offices in Brazil, China, Colombia, India, Indonesia, Mexico and the United States and regional offices in Africa and Europe. Learn more at WRI.org.   

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STATEMENT: Tripling Renewables by 2030 is Within Reach

2 semanas 4 días ago
STATEMENT: Tripling Renewables by 2030 is Within Reach casey.skeens@wri.org Tue, 09/24/2024 - 18:06

PARIS, FRANCE (September 24, 2024) – According to a new report by the International Energy Agency (IEA), it is possible to triple renewable energy by 2030, fulfilling the pledge made by nearly 200 countries at COP28 just a year ago. The report points to favorable economics and policies paving a path forward but notes that significant investment is needed to expand grid infrastructure and that permitting processes require reform. 

The report also notes that in the ‘COP28 Full Implementation Case,’ nearly three-quarters of the reduction in oil demand by 2030 comes from measures related to the doubling of energy efficiency. Energy efficiency measures are similarly responsible for half of the reduction in natural gas demand. Efficiency policies also limit the need for investment in additional infrastructure, such as electricity grids, and allow time for developing market rules, supply chains and the workforce skills necessary for the transition away from fossil fuels. 

Following is a statement from Jennifer Layke, Global Director, Energy, World Resources Institute:  

“Tripling the world’s renewable energy is entirely achievable with the right policies and investment. Modernizing electric grids and simplifying permitting should be on the top of every country’s policy agenda. No country will be able to meet its climate goals without these grid reforms.  

“What remains sobering is that governments and investors continue to leave huge renewable energy opportunities unrealized in lower income countries. We cannot have a world where only wealthy countries build renewables and upgrade power sector infrastructure while others are left behind. 

“We will only succeed in delivering an energy transition if the doubling of energy efficiency is as much a political priority as renewable energy deployment. Efficiency investments make economies more productive. Households and industries need the full range of benefits — resiliency, clean air, and economic benefits — that tripling renewable energy and doubling energy efficiency can provide. Governments and the private sector alike need to do more to bring clean, efficient technologies and storage solutions to all people – not just those who can afford to move first.” 

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How Local Banks Can Unlock Africa's Clean Energy Future

2 semanas 5 días ago
How Local Banks Can Unlock Africa's Clean Energy Future margaret.overh… Mon, 09/23/2024 - 15:00

In Africa, renewable energy can offer tremendous benefits that go beyond replacing fossil fuels and reducing carbon emissions.

Consider agriculture: Sub-Saharan Africa holds a quarter of the world's arable land. Yet 37% of food produced there is lost after harvest, largely due to systemic issues like a lack of cold storage and poor transportation infrastructure, as well as hotter temperatures driven by climate change. This hurts farmers' incomes and contributes to the region's severe food shortages.

One company in Kenya is leveraging renewables to help stem these food losses. SokoFresh offers local farmers access to solar-powered, off-grid cold storage rooms to keep food fresh after it's harvested. So far, over 12,500 smallholder farmers have tapped into this service, reducing their post-harvest losses to near zero and growing their incomes by 20% on average as a result.

This is just one example of "Productive Use of Renewable Energy," or PURE — an innovative approach that aims to deploy renewable energy in rural communities where it can directly support their economic development. The goal is to spark a virtuous cycle, where access to renewable technology boosts local incomes and welfare while simultaneously spurring more demand for clean electricity.

But despite a huge potential market for PURE solutions, many have struggled to get off the ground. Development partners, such as international donors and development banks, have invested relatively little in PURE to date — meaning that most costs currently fall to end-users like equipment suppliers and smallholder farmers, who often can't afford the technology.

More investment and innovative financing mechanisms will be essential to unlocking the full potential of renewable energy in sub-Saharan Africa. Local commercial banks, largely untapped in this arena so far, could play a key role in kickstarting the PURE industry and scaling up clean energy throughout the region.

The Promise and Challenge of PURE

The market for PURE, particularly in agriculture, is vast.

In sub-Saharan Africa alone, the potential market for solar-powered irrigation, cooling and agricultural processing is estimated at US$11.3 billion. Solar water pumps, a market-ready PURE technology, could serve over 130 million smallholder farmers across West, Central and East Africa. In the realms of cold storage and solar irrigation, there is a potential customer base of approximately 7.4 million and 5.2 million smallholder farmers, respectively, in the region.

Farmers in Zimbabwe water their gardens using a solar-powered irrigation system. Boosting farm yields and improving farmers' incomes is just one example of how clean energy can support economic development in Africa. Photo by David Brazier/IWMI

Scaling PURE to these levels would have far-reaching benefits. One report estimated that, if solar water pumps were made affordable to smallholder farmers in sub-Saharan Africa, 7 million farmers could see agricultural yields increase by at least 30%. By replacing diesel water pumps, the region could avoid 197 million metric tonnes of CO2 emission, equivalent to taking over 46 million gas-powered cars off the road for one year. And farmers could save $50 billion in fuel costs.

The problem is that, since PURE operates at the appliance or equipment level, its growth depends on end-users being able to afford the technology. And most of them can't. Currently, 90% of farmers in sub-Saharan Africa who could benefit from solar water pumps cannot afford them due to high upfront costs or limited access to financing. As a result, only about 6% of the potential market for PURE is financially viable right now.

At the same time, PURE solutions — and clean energy solutions in Africa more broadly — have received little outside investment. Africa attracts less than 3% of all global energy spending; in 2022, the continent's energy sector received just under $30 billion in investment. By comparison, it's estimated that maximizing the deployment and use of PURE technology throughout rural sub-Saharan Africa would require about $120 billion per year over the next 10 years.

Local Banks Are Uniquely Positioned to Help Scale Up PURE

PURE is a relatively new concept, especially for investors, and most finance to date has been on the supply side. Some banks have established renewable energy departments dedicated exclusively to financing manufacturers and distributors of renewable energy equipment. But lending to end-users of PURE technologies, especially smallholder farmers, is lagging.

Unlocking Private Capital to Finance the Productive Use of Renewable Energy (PURE) Sector

WRI's new working paper explores the critical role that local financial institutions can play in scaling up PURE solutions in Ethiopia, Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania.

Download

Local commercial banks and microfinance institutions are well positioned to help fill this gap.

Local banks in sub-Saharan Africa hold billions of dollars in customer deposits and are already set up to provide loans directly to consumers. Rather than embedding PURE lending into their usual loan products, which some do now, banks could create customized options that are better tailored to PURE technologies and users, such as loans with flexible repayment periods, preferential interest rates and longer tenures. This would make repayment easier for users like smallholder farmers, who often see their incomes fluctuate due to varying crop yields and seasonal production cycles.

A family installs a solar-powered pump to access groundwater in Ethiopia. While renewable-powered technology offers myriad benefits to people in underserved communities, many cannot afford the upfront costs. Photo by Maheder Haileselaisse/IWMI

While such loans can be riskier for local banks, many could tap into funding and guarantees provided by international development banks to help de-risk PURE lending, potentially unlocking immense amounts of capital. For example, Greenmax Capital Group (a firm focused on promoting clean energy solutions in emerging markets) launched a guarantee program for PURE loans that would cover up to 100% of a bank's losses if an individual customer defaults on repayment, up to a cap of 20% of the bank's total loan portfolio. A survey of 16 local banks in sub-Saharan Africa showed that this program could enable $954 million in loans for clean energy access and PURE over a 5-year period.

Banks can also build partnerships with companies that sell PURE equipment. Most PURE distributors are small businesses that struggle with limited working capital, making them unable or reluctant to offer consumer financing due to the risk of loss. However, only a handful of distributors have been able to outsource consumer financing to third-party banks or suppliers. Banks can forge win-win partnerships with technology distributors, helping to expand their consumer bases through new financing programs while increasing the banks' own access to project pipelines and gaining valuable market insights.

Finally, PURE offers an avenue for banks to meet their own green lending and sustainability targets. As banks increasingly recognize the risks that climate change poses to their bottom lines, many are taking steps to increase their green funding and reduce the emissions impacts of their financial portfolios. Scaling up PURE lending can help meet these targets, while also contributing to broader national and international climate goals.

But Banks Face Difficulties Financing PURE Solutions

Our research found that, while local banks in East Africa could play a critical role in kickstarting and scaling PURE, they face several unique barriers to doing so.

Local banks have limited staff capacity and may not be aware of the range of benefits and opportunities that PURE offers. Moreover, there is no standard taxonomy in East African local banks to categorize PURE as a distinct loan category. Instead, PURE loans are often bundled with other types of loans during credit assessments, disbursements and financial reporting, making it difficult to gauge supply and demand and get a clear understanding of the investment landscape.

Local banks face external challenges, too. Many PURE users — often individual farmers, small businesses or underserved communities — have low or no credit profiles, making it riskier to lend to them. Supply chain challenges, such as equipment installation, repair and maintenance, also compound the uncertainty of loan repayment and lead to higher credit risk.

Many local banks also lack funds for PURE lending in local currencies. Instead, they may receive funding from development banks for this purpose in hard currencies, such as the United States Dollar or Euro. Yet, banks collect repayments from small business owners and end-users in local currency, potentially causing debt obligations to balloon if the local currency depreciates or interest rates rise.

A nurse switches on the lights at a solar-powered healthcare center in Bitale Village in Tanzania. Productive uses of renewable energy extend beyond agriculture; for example, solar power can help rural healthcare facilities lower their electricity costs, increase their profits and expand their services. Photo by Jake Lyell/Alamy Stock Photo Ways to Unlock PURE Finance from Local Banks

Banks can take proactive steps, both independently and with external partners, to overcome the barriers to financing PURE projects.

  • Aggregating more PURE demand by consolidating loans through consortium lending and bundling products. For example, Sun King (a solar equipment distributor) and Citi established a Special Purpose Vehicle which bundled and sold customers' solar loans to commercial banks and Development Finance Institutions in six different countries, raising $130 million to support new off-grid solar lending in Kenya. This strategy can help lower transaction costs through economies of scale, mitigate credit risk, and develop bankable project pipelines by identifying demand hotspots.
  • Conducting portfolio reviews to accurately categorize and classify green lending products. Establishing a distinct label for PURE-related projects will give banks a clearer picture of their PURE financing and help align these loans with their internal sustainable practices and banking goals.
  • Implementing innovative collateralization to provide new avenues for securing loans. For example, PURE businesses have significant potential to generate revenue from the sale of carbon credits. By accepting carbon credits as collateral for loans, banks could help expand financing to more consumers.
  • Tapping new funding sources. This can be achieved by partnering with other banks to expand PURE projects; raising funds from development partners and governments through "blended" finance mechanisms; and leveraging climate finance opportunities such as green bonds and climate funds. These steps will help enable banks to scale up their PURE lending and make it possible for more customers to afford PURE technologies.
  • Collaborating with other stakeholders, including development partners and policymakers. Advocating for macro-level policy support, such as policies to facilitate foreign exchange, can assist banks in addressing country-specific challenges. Development partners, such as the World Bank or the International Financial Corporation (IFC), can play a role by scaling up their technical support to local banks and enhancing staff capacity to identify, appraise and monitor PURE financing opportunities.

Banks in Africa and other developing economies also need more external support at the global level. Developed nations must make good on their commitments to deliver affordable and accessible climate finance to developing nations. And development banks need to reassess their international finance to ensure it is inclusive and aligns with the specific needs of African countries and communities. For example, under the Green Climate Fund (which is the world's largest climate fund), not many PURE-related projects have been approved for financing in East Africa — despite eligibility and presence of accredited entities to channel the financing.

African Heads of State could, through the African Development Bank, collectively advocate for these kinds of finance reforms via platforms such as the UN's annual climate conferences (COPs).

Unleashing PURE's Potential

PURE presents an enormous opportunity to extend energy access and improve livelihoods in sub-Saharan Africa — especially among rural and lower-income communities that lack electricity or the means to afford it. And local banks have a significant role to play. By gradually institutionalizing PURE lending, forming strategic partnerships, diversifying funding sources, advocating for supportive policies and more, local banks can help unlock PURE's transformative potential.

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6 Graphics Explain South America’s Forest Fires

3 semanas 2 días ago
6 Graphics Explain South America’s Forest Fires shannon.paton@… Thu, 09/19/2024 - 14:32

South America is ablaze, with record-breaking fires burning even in typically moist ecosystems like the Amazon rainforest. High temperatures and persistent drought fueled by the El Niño event that ended earlier this year — as well as longer-term changes driven by deforestation and climate change — have caused fires to spread across millions of hectares and several countries, threatening lives and property and creating dangerous levels of air pollution in cities like Sao Paulo and Rio de Janeiro.

Data on WRI’s Global Forest Watch platform shows that the number of fire alerts in the Amazon region are 79% higher than average for this time of year.

And while this year’s record-breaking fires are concerning, they’re also part of a worrying long-term trend. Analyzing data from 2001-2023, fires in the Amazon region are now burning at least twice as much forest today as they did 20 years ago.

A very strong El Niño event in 2015-2016 caused a large spike in fire-related loss in the Amazon. Similarly, a strong El Niño event began in 2023 and ended in May 2024. This graphic only reflects data through the end of 2023.

Here, we look at the current situation and long-term trends in a few key South American countries, using fire data available on Global Forest Watch.

Bolivia

Bolivia is experiencing its worst fire season in over 20 years, prompting the government to declare a national emergency. Our data shows over 29,000 fire alerts in the country from the beginning of the year through Sept. 16, 2024, with 90% of them occurring since July 1st. Roughly 70% of the alerts are in primary forests, valuable ecosystems that maintain biodiversity, support livelihoods, and store and sequester carbon.

While 2024 is a record-breaking year for fires in Bolivia, forest fires are a worsening trend in the country: Data shows that fires are burning roughly 5 times as much forest today as they did 20 years ago.

Brazil

Brazil, which contains about 60% of the Amazon rainforest, has seen more than 47,000 fire alerts so far this year — more than double the annual average for this time of year. Like Bolivia, almost all the fire alerts occurred in the last few months, many of them in Amazon.

Data from Mapbiomas, a Brazilian NGO, reports that fires have burned across more than 11 million hectares of land between January and August this year, an area roughly the size of Guatemala. According to their data, which stretches back to 1985, only one year — 1987 — had more burned area at this point in the year.

Increasing wildfire activity, along with high levels of deforestation, have already turned forests of the Brazilian Amazon into a net carbon source.

Peru

Peru, which houses the second-largest area of Amazon rainforest in South America after Brazil, has seen more than 450 fire alerts so far in 2024 — more than double the average at this stage of the year. About 61% of the country’s fires are burning in primary forests.

Fighting Fires in a Warmer World

Fires like the ones we’re seeing today are part of a dangerous and largely human-driven feedback loop.

Unlike boreal forests, where fires are a natural part of the ecosystem, fires in humid tropical forests like the Amazon are very rare and almost entirely human-caused. Many of the fires in the Amazon are caused by deforestation, which often involves setting fires to clear land for ranches and farms.

Evidence suggests that deforestation itself is responsible for regional changes in weather patterns that have resulted in larger and more severe droughts that make forests more susceptible to fire. When conditions are hot and dry, as they are this year, fires can quickly spread out of control and burn large areas of forest.

Beyond these direct causes, climate change is also making forests more susceptible to fire by increasing temperatures and shifting rainfall patterns on a global scale. The 10 warmest years since 1985 occurred in the last decade, and 2024 is on track to surpass 2023 as the warmest year yet.

And as forests burn, they release large amounts of carbon dioxide and other pollutants into the atmosphere, contributing to climate change and impacting air quality thousands of miles away. As forests regrow, they will recover some of the lost carbon, but it can take decades to recover what was lost in a single year.

As South American countries confront this year’s record-breaking fires and those to come, the focus must be on addressing both the direct and indirect drivers of forest fires.

forest-fires-bolivia-2024.jpg Forests Forests fires data visualization Type Finding Exclude From Blog Feed? 0 Projects Authors James MacCarthy Sarah Parsons
shannon.paton@wri.org

Amidst Record-breaking Fires, Will Brazil Confront Its Climate Challenges?

3 semanas 2 días ago
Amidst Record-breaking Fires, Will Brazil Confront Its Climate Challenges? shannon.paton@… Thu, 09/19/2024 - 09:29

Brazilians are currently living in a dystopian landscape.

Thick smoke, oppressive heat and eerily orange sunsets blanket both major cities and small villages. Hundreds of cities are exposed to dangerous levels of air pollution while thousands of hectares of forest burn. The jarring images send out a clear distress signal: Something is fundamentally amiss. 

Everybody familiar with the scientific literature understands that climate change is accelerating, manifesting as heatwaves, severe droughts, more frequent floods and devastating fires, leading to urban calamities, biodiversity loss, economic impacts and health hazards. But this spate of fires is truly exceptional. Preliminary analyses by WRI’s Global Forest Watch initiative, which monitors tree cover loss in near-real time through satellite images, show that the current fires season in Brazil is the worst in at least a decade, with more than 47,000 high-confidence fire alerts from the beginning of the year through Sept. 16, 2024. MapBiomas data shows an 85% increase in area affected by fires, compared to the average since 2019.

Conversely, the country is also experiencing bouts of more intense rainfall, with the recent floods in Rio Grande do Sul serving as a distressing example of this trend.  

Persistent heat and shifting rainfall patterns, turbocharged by climate change, are normalizing what once were record-breaking fires, floods and landslides in Brazil. The question now is: Will they prompt action? 

Brazil Engulfed in Flames

According to Carlos Nobre, a renowned climatologist and leading scientist in Brazil, we are living in a scenario of dread. The nation is currently witnessing the cumulative effects of accelerated climate change, rampant arson and the persistence of an agricultural development model. Unlike other countries, where fires are a natural part of the forest ecosystem, almost all fires in the Amazon and Pantanal regions of Brazil are human-caused. Amid weak regulatory oversight, some rural producers persist in using deforestation and fire to clear land for farms and ranches. 

That, plus the hot and dry conditions caused by climate change, are causing fires to rage out of control.

Brazil is currently enduring its longest drought in 70 years, impacting at least 1,400 cities and over 80% of Brazil’s territory . The situation is starkly highlighted by the Madeira River, a major tributary of the Amazon River, which has recorded a water level of just 41 centimeters at the station in Porto Velho, Rondônia — the lowest since 1967, per the Geological Survey of Brazil.

More than 5,000 fires were reported in a single day. The largest city in South America, São Paulo, registered the worst air quality in the world. Brasilia has seen hundreds of people hospitalized with respiratory problems. And since smoke knows no borders, the fires in Brazil have precipitated cross-border environmental issues, affecting neighboring countries like Argentina, Paraguay and Bolivia. Each of these nations is grappling with their own fire outbreaks.

Agribusiness is also suffering. In the state of São Paulo, fire-related damages to the sector are estimated at R$2 billion ($366 million), as reported by the Department of Agriculture and Supply.

And these most recent fires come on top of longer-term environmental threats facing all of Brazil’s major ecosystems. The Cerrado tropical savanna, pressured by agricultural production, is witnessing threats to its biodiversity and the water quality of eight of the 12 major Brazilian river basins that traverse the region. The Pantanal, the world’s largest tropical wetland and largest flooded grasslands, faces dangerously low water levels and potentially the worst drought in its history. Meanwhile, the Amazon, vital for regulating the country’s rainfall, is at risk of irreversible collapse by 2050, according to a recent study published in Nature. This is despite a significant reduction in deforestation rates in the last year. 

Brazil Shows Mixed Signals on Environmental Leadership

As Brazil prepares to host the UN Climate Conference (COP 30) in Belém, Pará at the end of 2025, the nation is positioning itself to be a front-runner on the global environmental stage. However, the widespread wildfires cloud the political and diplomatic aspirations of President Lula, who faces scrutiny over the alignment between his rhetoric and his practical agenda for climate action.

This federal administration has made noticeable progress compared to the era of former President Jair Bolsonaro, marked by a significant shift in narrative — from climate denialism to a discourse that values scientific input — and an increase in funding. A prime example is an annual R$63.5 million devoted to fire control and prevention, a 26.2% increase compared to 2022, the last year of Bolsonaro’s term.

Nonetheless, the country has recently sent mixed signals in how it will approach climate and environmental action.

For example, while the federal government recently announced the formation of the Autoridade Climática, or National Climate Authority, the move comes more than a year after the initiative was promised, and its remit remains unclear. Some environmental advocates believe the government should strengthen existing agencies such as the Brazilian Institute of Space Research (INPE), the Brazilian Institute of the Environment and Renewable Natural Resources (IBAMA), and the Chico Mendes Institute for Biodiversity Conservation (ICMBio), suggesting that enhancing their infrastructure and budgets would more effectively meet current environmental challenges.

Amidst severe drought, heat and rampant forest fires, President Lula led his ministers to the most affected areas, demanding decisive action. Yet the government has delayed its timeline for releasing a Supreme Court-mandated plan to prevent and combat fires in the Pantanal and Amazon. Although the court’s order was issued in March, it wasn’t until August that Brazil’s Federal Attorney General’s Office sought an extension to finalize this plan. 

Another move that’s drawn criticism is the plan to expand oil exploration in Brazil, particularly along the equatorial margin, located only 500 kilometers from the mouth of the Amazon River. This comes at a time when there is a pressing need for decarbonization policies. Similarly, a plan to pave a segment of the BR-319 highway through the heart of the Amazon, connecting Manaus to Porto Velho, is raising alarms. This development could potentially trigger a surge in deforestation and, as a result, an increase in greenhouse gas emissions, running counter to the government’s stated objective of assuming a global leadership role in addressing the climate crisis.

State and municipal governments in Brazil have also faced criticism. Recently, they have been navigating a precarious balance between unfulfilled promises and reactive measures. The challenge of coordinating and implementing enduring public policies to combat climate change has become more pronounced over the past decade, exacerbated by increasing political polarization and the persistence of traditional agendas in the National Congress. These agendas favor economic systems that are reluctant to adapt to a low-carbon economy and a world urgently requiring a just and rapid transition.

A constructive approach to political coordination in Brazil could involve establishing a comprehensive climate information and data system that integrates federal and subnational networks. Legal safeguards could also be implemented to protect climate services from budgetary reallocations in the Federal Budget Guidelines Act.

Balancing Development with Decarbonization

The task of harmonizing decarbonization with economic development is paramount and increasingly spotlighted in global economic forums, including this year’s G20 summit hosted by Brazil and the upcoming UN climate summit in Baku, Azerbaijan. Brazil has an opportunity to show the world what a low-carbon development model can look like — but only if it takes strong climate action both domestically and internationally.

Brazil is currently developing its new Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC), which delineates its greenhouse gas emissions-reduction targets. Brazil has the opportunity to become a global leader by adopting ambitious emissions-reduction targets for 2030 and 2035 that would keep it on track for achieving carbon neutrality by 2050. But the country must ensure its actions consistently reflect its environmental rhetoric to truly advance towards this new paradigm. Recent weeks have shown a lag in timely and effective measures to address the forest fires and climate crises, highlighting a gap between policy and practice. 
  
Moreover, it is crucial for Brazil to incorporate adaptation as a fundamental aspect of its economic and social development strategies to enhance national resilience against the impacts of climate change. Effective multi-level governance is essential to respond to escalating challenges, alongside a commitment to funding these initiatives.

In a world that increasingly appears out of balance, now is the opportune moment for Brazil to seek consensus and hasten its efforts to adapt to this new era of extremes.

Brazil-forest-fires.jpg Forests Forests fires Type Commentary Exclude From Blog Feed? 0 Authors Fabio Schivartche Karen Silverwood-Cope
shannon.paton@wri.org

Cities Will Suffer Health and Infrastructure Crisis Under 3° C vs. 1.5° C Warming, With Low-income Cities Worst Impacted

3 semanas 2 días ago
Cities Will Suffer Health and Infrastructure Crisis Under 3° C vs. 1.5° C Warming, With Low-income Cities Worst Impacted casey.skeens@wri.org Thu, 09/19/2024 - 05:01

With over two-thirds of the world’s population expected to live in cities by 2050, new global data on the 1,000 largest cities provides a granular view into potential climate futures — highlighting growing hazards and the urgent need for climate adaptation investment

WASHINGTON (September 19, 2024) — Under the world’s current trajectory of 3 degrees C (5.4 degrees F) of warming from pre-industrial averages, cities across the globe may endure far more frequent and longer heat waves, skyrocketing demand for cooling, and more widespread disease risk, compared to 1.5 degrees C (2.7 degrees F), according to new analysis from World Resources Institute’s (WRI) Ross Center for Sustainable Cities. Low-income cities and cities in sub-Saharan Africa, Latin America and Southeast Asia are likely to be hardest hit.

WRI analyzed climate hazards for 996 of the world’s largest cities — home to 2.1 billion people (26% of the global population) — using estimates based on downscaled global climate models. The modeling and analysis show a sizable difference between 1.5 degrees C and 3 degrees C for urban areas, underscoring the need for city and national governments to inform their investments and policies with city-level data. This new statistical modeling method can make it easier to predict city-scale impacts from global data and points to the urgency for even more granular modeling work to enable cities to prepare for the worst effects of climate change and rally to reduce emissions faster. This work was supported by Bloomberg Philanthropies.

“The difference between 1.5 degrees C and 3 degrees C has life or death consequences for billions of people worldwide,” said Rogier van den Berg, Global Director, WRI Ross Center for Sustainable Cities. “This data should serve as a wakeup call to every city and national government leader: now is the time to start preparing cities for a much hotter world, while doing everything we can to slash emissions.”  

At 3 degrees C, most cities can expect both longer and more frequent heat waves compared to 1.5 degrees C, with impacts on public health, labor capacity and productivity. In a 1.5 degrees C world, the longest heat wave each year may last an average of 16.3 days, with 3% of the world’s largest cities experiencing heat waves lasting one month or longer annually. However, under 3 degrees C of warming, the average duration of the longest heat wave could jump to 24.5 days, with more than 16% of cities — home to 302 million people today — exposed to at least one heat wave lasting a month or longer every year.  

Heat waves may also become more frequent. At 1.5 degrees C of temperature rise, the average city may experience 4.9 heat waves per year. At 3 degrees C of warming, the number rises to 6.4 heat waves per year, with an increasing number of cities facing heat waves in the double digits.  

Grappling with extreme heat will significantly raise the demand for cooling — and consequently, for energy. At 1.5 degrees C, about 8.7 million people across a handful of cities could face a 100% increase in their cooling demand (compared to 1995-2014 averages). With 3 degrees C of warming, that number rises to 194 million people in cities potentially seeing their cooling demand double from historic levels. That has huge implications for energy infrastructure and access.

In terms of the spread of disease, higher temperatures create more optimal environments for mosquitos that carry arboviruses, such as dengue, Zika, West Nile, yellow fever and chikungunya in new places. Comparing 1.5 degrees C and 3 degrees C of warming, the world’s largest cities could see on average 6 more days of peak arbovirus-transmission days every year. But results vary considerably by location. Brazil is already experiencing a dengue crisis, and at 3 degrees C of warming, 11 of its largest cities could see high arbovirus risk for at least six months of the year.  

For malaria, the rise in global temperatures from 1.5 degrees C to 3 degrees C may reduce the number of peak malaria days globally from an average of 114 to 104.4 days in cities, as temperatures become warmer than what is optimal for malaria-transmitting mosquitos. But cities in more temperate regions like Europe and North America could also see their malaria risks increase.  

These findings bear immense consequences for people’s lives, cities’ economies, and infrastructure and public health systems. This is especially important as cities are home to more than half the world’s population — 4.4 billion people — and are expected to grow rapidly over the next two decades. By 2050, two-thirds of the global population will live in cities, with another 2.5 billion people moving to urban areas. Over 90% of urban growth will be in lower-income countries in Africa and Asia.

“Climate change has profoundly unequal impacts both across cities and within cities,” said Anjali Mahendra, Director of Global Research, WRI Ross Center. “Cities in low-income countries are often more afflicted and have fewer resources to cope, which means we need to drastically increase financing for adaptation and find ways to direct it to the hardest hit cities and communities. Even within a well-resourced city, the most vulnerable populations will be disproportionately affected."  

Sub-Saharan African cities may endure multiple severe climate impacts, potentially simultaneously. Comparing impacts at 1.5 degrees C vs. 3 degrees C of warming, the region ranks first on average for the largest estimated increase in heat wave frequency (up 56%, to 6.5 occurrences per year) and peak arbovirus days (25 additional days, totaling 129 annually). It also sees the third largest estimated increase in duration of heat waves (up 58%, to 20 days) and the second biggest estimated increase in energy demand for cooling (an additional 208 cooling degree days).  

Latin American cities rank second on average for the greatest estimated increase in heat wave frequency (up 48%, to 7.5 occurrences annually) and have the second-highest estimated increase in the number of days optimal for arboviruses at 3 degrees C (13 additional days, to 91 days annually) compared to 1.5 degrees C.

In Southeast Asia, Indonesian cities face some of the highest compounding risks from both hotter temperatures and greater disease. Three of the four cities in the world with the greatest estimated increase in peak arbovirus days from 1.5 degrees C to 3 degrees C of warming are in Indonesia: Yogyakarta (273 day increase), Jember (151 day increase) and Padang (148 day increase).

“Better data is the key to sound decision-making, especially during this era of accelerating climate impacts and urgent need for make-or-break action,” said Eric Mackres, Senior Manager, Data and Tools, WRI Ross Center. “It is our hope that city leaders will use these hazard projections to inform decisions and investments that will protect residents against the climate impacts they will face if we fail to change our current emissions path.”

The new research builds on analysis released at the COP28 Local Climate Action Summit, hosted by Bloomberg Philanthropies and the COP28 Presidency with support from WRI. The Summit marked a historic moment to formally recognize the pivotal role city and other local leaders play in climate action. The Summit produced the Coalition for High Ambition Multi-level Partnerships, an initiative endorsed by over 70 national governments to drive a new approach to updating Nationally Determined Contributions by harvesting the best ideas for climate action from the local level, with the goal of ensuring the next round of national climate targets are as ambitious and inclusive as possible.

"This research makes it clear that we can't afford to delay action on climate change any longer as dire consequences await cities in a 3 degrees C world," said Antha Williams, who leads the Bloomberg Philanthropies' Environment program. "For over a decade, we've helped support mayors' forward thinking and bold leadership in the fight against climate change. Now it's more important than ever for national and local governments to come together to accelerate progress and protect the millions of lives in urban communities from the threatening impacts of climate change."

National and local governments must work urgently to improve collaboration, increase financing for adaptation, double down on policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, and use a data-driven approach to prioritize the most likely and urgent risks.

About World Resources Institute    
WRI is a trusted partner for change. Using research-based approaches, we work globally and in focus countries to meet people’s essential needs; to protect and restore nature; and to stabilize the climate and build resilient communities. We aim to fundamentally transform the way the world produces and uses food and energy and designs its cities to create a better future for all. Founded in 1982, WRI has nearly 2,000 staff around the world, with country offices in Brazil, China, Colombia, India, Indonesia, Mexico and the United States and regional offices in Africa and Europe. Learn more at WRI.org and on X @WorldResources.

About WRI Ross Center for Sustainable Cities

WRI Ross Center for Sustainable Cities is World Resources Institute’s program dedicated to shaping a future where cities work better for everyone. It enables more connected, compact and coordinated cities. The Center expands the transport and urban development expertise of the EMBARQ network to catalyze innovative solutions in other sectors, including air quality, water, buildings, land use and energy. It combines the research excellence of WRI with two decades of on-the-ground impact through a network of more than 370 experts working from Brazil, China, Colombia, Ethiopia, India, Mexico, Turkey and the United States to make cities around the world better places to live. More information at www.wrirosscities.org.  

About Bloomberg Philanthropies

Bloomberg Philanthropies invests in 700 cities and 150 countries around the world to ensure better, longer lives for the greatest number of people. The organization focuses on creating lasting change in five key areas: the Arts, Education, Environment, Government Innovation, and Public Health. Bloomberg Philanthropies encompasses all of Michael R. Bloomberg’s giving, including his foundation, corporate, and personal philanthropy as well as Bloomberg Associates, a philanthropic consultancy that advises cities around the world. In 2023, Bloomberg Philanthropies distributed $3 billion. For more information, please visit bloomberg.org, sign up for our 
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casey.skeens@wri.org

What Would Cities Look Like With 3 Degrees C of Warming vs. 1.5? Far More Hazardous and Vastly Unequal

3 semanas 4 días ago
What Would Cities Look Like With 3 Degrees C of Warming vs. 1.5? Far More Hazardous and Vastly Unequal shannon.paton@… Tue, 09/17/2024 - 16:30 .category-wrapper.topic-tag-wrapper.regions { display: none !important; }

The world recently experienced a 13-month streak of record-breaking global temperatures. And as blistering heat waves punish communities across several continents, 2024 is on track to be the hottest year on record. Global average temperatures are now perilously close to exceeding 1.5 degrees C (2.7 degrees F) above pre-industrial levels, a threshold scientists warn will bring increasingly dangerous droughts, wildfires and other impacts of climate change. Researchers project nearly 3 degrees C (5.4 degrees F) of temperature rise by 2100 without significant action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

That means almost 600 million people will be exposed to flooding from rising seas, food production will drop by as much as half and  habitats will suffer disastrous levels of loss. But what will 3 degrees C of warming vs. 1.5 degrees C look like in specific places — like Bengaluru, Johannesburg, Rio de Janeiro or the city you live in?

New data from WRI  finds that in most cities, the difference between 3 degrees C and 1.5 degrees C of warming is sizable. We analyzed potential climate hazards for nearly 1,000 of the world’s largest cities1 — currently home to 2.1 billion people, or 26% of the global population — using estimates based on downscaled global climate models. At 3 degrees C of warming, many cities could face month-long heat waves, skyrocketing energy demand for air conditioning, as well as a shifting risk for insect-borne diseases — sometimes simultaneously. People in low-income cities are likely to be the hardest hit.

These findings hold immense consequences for people’s lives and livelihoods, as well as for cities’ economies, infrastructure and public health systems. The implications are especially important as cities are home to 4.4 billion people globally — more than half the world’s population — and will grow rapidly over the next two decades. By 2050, as another 2.5 billion people move to urban areas, two-thirds of humanity will live in cities, with over 90% of that growth in Africa and Asia.

 

About this data

Global climate models often don’t produce data granular enough to be usable at a local level. For this article, we produced a global data set that includes data on 14 heat- and precipitation-related climate hazards for the 996 cities with populations greater than 500,000 people using a new statistical modeling method (designed by WRI) that makes it easier to project city-scale impacts from global climate models.

[Read more]

Global climate models often don’t produce data granular enough to be usable at a local level. For this article, we produced a global data set that includes data on 14 heat- and precipitation-related climate hazards for the 996 cities with populations greater than 500,000 people using a new statistical modeling method (designed by WRI) that makes it easier to project city-scale impacts from global climate models.

In consultation with city-level decision-makers from cities we work with, we chose these hazards for their relevance to public health, livelihoods, infrastructure and economic productivity. Average hazard magnitudes were calculated based on three climate models for each city (chosen based on best fit with historical data) for three global warming scenarios (1.5 degrees C, 2 degrees C and 3 degrees C), plus a recent historical reference period (1995-2014). For the sake of brevity, in this article we describe findings for the 1.5 and 3 degree C scenarios from only some of the hazard indicators, and we only report estimates from the best of the three models per city (based on historical correlation). Data from all three models are in the accompanying dataset.

Our data are all based on models. And like all models, there are limitations and unavoidable uncertainty. Here are some of the important limitations to our data:

Inherent uncertainty in climate models. Climate models are built on the research community’s most current understanding of how the climate works and will evolve, but they are far from perfect. The complexity of Earth’s systems and our inability to predict important factors like future greenhouse gas emissions mean that all climate models contain unavoidable uncertainty. The data we provide are estimates based on probability models, not definitive predictions. The full dataset includes estimates and uncertainty measures for three independent climate models used for each indicator, for each city.

Spatial resolution. Our data and the models we use have the same spatial resolution: approximately 25 km by 25 km pixels. While an improvement over earlier work, the resolution is still coarser than is ideal for urban climate planning. The estimates we provide are averages over areas more than 600 square kilometers. Therefore, our data likely underestimate extremes that might arise from more granular built environment differences: Very hot locations (locations that are warmer than average within their grid cells) will appear cooler, and cool locations will appear warmer.

Urban heat island effect. Because of pavement, building materials and relative lack of vegetation, cities tend to be warmer than rural areas. This is the urban heat island effect, and although we do include a bias correction step to partially mitigate the problem, the climate models do not account for it. Many locations in cities are therefore likely to be even warmer than is reflected in our data. Estimates of future heat wave frequency and duration and number of extreme-temperature days are likely to be low.

Simplified disease-risk hazards. We based our peak arbovirus and malaria transmission hazards on comparing estimated temperatures with published optimal temperature ranges for particular mosquito species (Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus for arboviruses, and Anopheles gambiae for malaria). Disease life cycles are of course much more complex than can be captured in simple temperature ranges, and diseases can be transmitted even in suboptimal temperatures and through vectors other than the species we considered. For example, Anopheles stephensi, an Asian mosquito and malaria vector, is a growing threat in Africa, particularly in urban areas. Finally, we note that our estimates examine climate only, and not the present or future geographic distribution of mosquitos or pathogens.

We are constantly refining our methods, and we expect to reduce uncertainty and improve our estimates as we gain access to better climate models. For now, our advice for interpreting these data is to understand the inherent uncertainty in this modeling work and consider our findings as a possible future, based on some of the best existing global models, as uncertain as they may be.

 

 

A young girl carries water through an informal settlement in Johannesburg, South Africa. Photo by Joe Eldrdige/Alamy Stock Photo

Here, we unpack what conditions may look like in the world’s largest cities if global warming reaches 3 degrees C, compared to 1.5 degrees C:

Longer and More Frequent Heatwaves

Study after study show that people die and economies slow down during prolonged periods of abnormally high temperatures. Even when temperatures do not approach life-threatening highs, heat waves can elevate risks to agriculture and infrastructure, such as crop failures and increased energy demand. At 3 degrees C of warming, most cities can expect both longer and more frequent heat waves than at 1.5 degrees C.2

Across the world’s largest cities, the longest heat wave per year in a 1.5 degrees C warmer world could average 16.3 days, with 3% of cities facing a heat wave every year that lasts one month or longer.

However, under the world’s current trajectory of nearly 3 degrees C of warming, the average duration of the longest heat wave in a year may jump to 24.5 days, with more than 16% of the world’s largest cities — home to 302 million people — exposed to at least one heat wave lasting one month or longer every year.3

Duration of annual longest heat wave also varies significantly by region. 

At 1.5 degrees C of warming, the Middle East and North Africa and Latin America and the Caribbean regions may see the longest heat waves on average, lasting an estimated 23-25 days.

At 3 degrees C of warming, the Middle East and North Africa may see the largest estimated jump in duration of annual longest heat wave (+13.6 days), bringing the longest heat waves in the region to 36.3 days, on average.

East Asia and the Pacific and South Asia regions may also see increases of 9-10 days longer, resulting in heat waves lasting 23-25 days.

Heat waves may become more frequent, too.

At 1.5 degrees C of temperature rise, the average city may experience 4.9 heat waves per year.

At 3 degrees C of warming, the number of heat waves may rise to 6.4 per year, with an increasing number of cities facing double-digit heat waves every year.

Cities in countries with different income levels would see different changes.

At 1.5 degrees C of global warming, cities in high-income countries may see an estimated 5.2 heat waves per year, on average, while those in low-income countries may see 4.7 heat waves.

At 3 degrees C of warming, the number of heat waves for cities in high-income countries may rise by 0.7 to an estimated 5.9 heat waves per year.

For cities in low-income countries, heat wave frequency may rise by an estimated 2.1 to 6.9 heat waves per year.

Longer, more frequent heat waves can take a massive toll on public health and social and economic development. The impacts of extreme heat can be life-threatening, especially on vulnerable groups like pregnant women, the elderly or children. And within cities, poorer neighborhoods will feel the effects more sharply, as they often have fewer green areas to cool the air, poorer quality buildings and less access to mechanical cooling.

Combined with air pollution, an all-too-common problem in cities, heat waves become even deadlier. For example, cardiovascular diseases are exacerbated by extreme temperatures and by tropospheric ozone, the formation of which increases at higher temperatures. Heat waves also exacerbate wildfires, which can increase exposure to PM2.5 pollution, a known carcinogen linked to diseases and premature death.

And beyond the impacts on human health, extreme heat can strain water, energy and transport systems, disrupting food chains and agriculture.

City Solution: Inclusive Resilience in Bengaluru, India Photo by shylendrahood/iStock

In Bengaluru, India, where the longest heat wave every year could average 13.5 days at 1.5 degrees C of warming and 37.8 days at 3 degrees C, extreme heat is already bringing severe water shortages and surging energy demand. The city is India’s fifth most populous, and 16% of its rapidly growing population live in informal settlements.

Last year, Bengaluru launched its first climate action plan, which can serve as a model for how large cities with high inequality can build resilience. The plan is inclusive by design, actively recruiting all sectors of society to participate in planning and implementing nature-based climate change solutions, like planting trees and expanding green space.

Bengaluru considers clean air and other components of human well-being in its climate plan. The plan is also broad in reach, targeting sectors like solid waste management, stormwater, greening, energy, transportation and biodiversity.

 

A man repairs air conditioners at an apartment building in Asuncion, Paraguay. As temperatures rise in the world’s cities, energy demands for cooling are projected to skyrocket. Photo by Jose Carlos Alexandre/iStock Rising Demand for Cooling

Longer, more frequent heat waves and extremely hot days will significantly raise the demand for cooling4 in homes and workplaces — and with it, demand for energy if those needs are met through mechanical means like air conditioning. Many cooling needs can be effectively met through passive cooling — including material selection, shade, insulation and ventilation — but these solutions are too often ignored in favor of mechanical methods perceived as more convenient.

At 1.5 degrees C of warming, approximately 8.7 million people across a handful of cities could face double their historical (1995-2014) cooling demand.5

At 3 degrees C of warming, approximately 194 million people may see a doubling from their historical levels.

Places that haven't had to consider cooling strategies because of mild climates — like northern Europe or the U.S. Pacific Northwest — will need to do so more.

If met through mechanical means, the uptick in energy use may require a sizable investment in energy infrastructure and building technologies, even if cooling demand is still relatively small. It would also make it harder to achieve decarbonization goals in regions where power relies on fossil fuels.

Meanwhile, many places that are already hot — like Tehran and Marrakech — are increasing their cooling demand faster than relatively cool cities.

For many of these cities, population growth and cooling technology adoption become complicating factors. Energy-intensive air conditioning is less commonly used in lower-income cities, but demand is increasing as these countries get richer and more populous. For example, the percentage of Indian households with air conditioning is expected to match or exceed that of Europe by 2050.

At the same time, without policies and concerted public investment in passive cooling, many poorer people in soon-to-be hotter cities won’t have access to cooling solutions. This could increase social inequity and health risks.

Only about 8% of the 2.8 billion people living in the hottest and often poorest parts of the world currently have air conditioning in their homes. For example, in India, over 215 million people in cities are already estimated to be at higher risk of heat-related health problems due to lack of cooling services and infrastructure, including more than 121 million women and girls, who are affected disproportionately by extreme heat both in health and in economic outcomes. There is a massive gap between existing cooling investment and what will be needed by 2050 to save lives, especially in lower-income countries.

City Solution: Mapping Hotspots in Johannesburg, South Africa Photo by Rich T. Photo/Shutterstock

Heat waves in Johannesburg, South Africa, are becoming longer and more frequent. Johannesburg’s demand for cooling at 3 degrees C of warming is estimated to be 69% greater than at 1.5 degrees C. Air conditioning doesn’t work well when high temperatures cause water shortages and power outages, as they did in a recent heat wave that affected most of South Africa. And for many of Johannesburg’s residents who live in informal settlements — approximately 1 in 5 people — water and electricity are unreliable year-round.

The often-deadly combination of high temperatures and high inequality in cities calls for aggressive action from governments and communities. In Johannesburg, this starts with mapping. In 2022, local government officials partnered with community volunteers to measure temperatures and create maps that show the intersection of heat and vulnerability. The effort provided decision-makers with high-quality data, built a compelling evidence base for specific cooling measures, and brought stakeholders throughout the city to the planning table. As the city proceeds with tree plantings, white roofs and other cooling initiatives, its efforts are backed by data collected by residents, improving coverage of the most vulnerable.

 

A man fumigates mosquitos in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Photo by Luiz Souzarj/iStock Growing and Shifting Disease Risks

Warmer conditions often fuel mosquito-borne diseases. Geographic patterns and prevalence of illnesses6 would shift significantly in a 3 degrees C warmer world, requiring major changes in public health priorities and investments. (Our analyses are based on changing temperatures and not on other factors affecting disease lifecycles or on current or future prevalence of disease pathogens and vectors.)

Incidence of arboviruses such as dengue, Zika, West Nile, yellow fever and chikungunya will likely increase worldwide as days with optimal temperatures for disease-carrying mosquitos become more common.

Comparing 1.5 degrees C and 3 degrees C of warming, the average increase in peak arbovirus-transmission days globally is 6 days. But the picture is much more complicated than the global average.

Low-income cities will be particularly hard hit.

At 1.5 degrees C of warming, cities in low-income countries may experience 73.4 peak arbovirus days each year, compared to just 27.9 for cities in high-income countries.

And at 3 degrees C of warming, cities in low-income countries may experience 87.4 peak arbovirus days each year, compared to 32.1 days per year for the average city in high-income countries.

The incidence of malaria, on the other hand, is expected to decrease globally, as temperatures in many places become warmer than what is optimal for malaria-transmitting mosquitos.

An increase in global warming from 1.5 degrees C to 3 degrees C means fewer expected peak malaria days — dropping from 114.0 to 104.4 days on average — but it varies considerably by location. For example, at 3 degrees C, some cities in Europe, Central Asia and North America see the expected number of days with peak-transmission temperatures increase. Most of these cities do not currently harbor malaria-carrying mosquitos — but as occasional reports arise of locally acquired malaria in Europe and the U.S., there is increasing concern that malaria could creep into places that haven’t seen it in living memory.

City Solution: Hunting Dengue in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Photo by Giongi63/Shutterstock

Arboviruses are of particularly urgent concern in Latin America. Brazil is already experiencing a dengue crisis, and at 3 degrees C of warming, 11 of its largest cities could see high arbovirus risk for at least six months of the year. Rio de Janeiro may see significantly more illness if global warming reaches 3 degrees C, as the expected number of peak arbovirus days increases by 71%, from 69 to 118 days per year.

As temperatures in Rio de Janeiro become more hospitable to dengue-carrying mosquitos, the city is investing in improving the availability of dengue vaccines and controlling the mosquitos themselves. Community health workers crisscross the city, hunting for places where standing water accumulates and mosquitos can breed. And Rio de Janeiro is using another disease — Wolbachia, a bacterium that infects insects — to inhibit dengue transmission in infected mosquitos. Rio de Janeiro and five other Brazilian cities release Wolbachia-infected mosquitos by the tens of thousands. These mosquitos behave no differently from uninfected mosquitos, but they harbor less dengue virus and infect other mosquitos. A similar Wolbachia program in Yogyakarta, Indonesia resulted in a 77% reduction of dengue incidence.

 

Mumbai, India. Low-income cities, in particular, will suffer compounding risks from the interacting effects of above-average increases in temperatures and disease, potentially straining health care systems, infrastructure and budgets that are already insufficient to meet residents’ needs. Photo by Harald Spilker/Alamy Stock Photo Low-income Cities Will Face Compounding Climate Risks

Climate hazards rarely come in isolation. Low-income cities, in particular, will suffer compounding risks from the interacting effects of above-average increases in temperatures and disease, potentially straining health care systems, infrastructure and budgets that are already insufficient to meet residents’ needs.

Sub-Saharan Africa is likely to be the hardest hit region for several indicators at 3 degrees C of global warming. The region’s cities may endure multiple severe climate impacts, potentially simultaneously. Comparing impacts at 1.5 degrees C versus 3 degrees C of warming, the region’s cities rank first on average for the greatest estimated increase in heat wave frequency (up 56%, to 6.5 occurrences per year) and peak arbovirus days (25 additional days, totaling 129 annually). They also see the third-largest estimated increase in the annual longest heat wave duration (up 58%, to 20 days) and the second-biggest estimated increase in energy demand for cooling (an additional 208 cooling degree days).

Although Africa is only responsible for 2%-3% of the world’s greenhouse gas emissions, many of its sub-Saharan cities are most affected by climate change-induced hazards. At 3 degrees C of warming, cities like Freetown, Sierra Leone and Dakar, Senegal could endure heat waves lasting longer than a month, with an average of seven heat waves in a year, demanding greater energy for cooling (13% and 20% above historical reference period averages, respectively). Many cities in the region are already dealing with rapid population growth, conflict and unregulated development. These compounding climate hazards only add to the region’s vulnerability.

Latin American cities rank second on average for the greatest estimated increase in heat wave frequency (up 48%, to 7.5 occurrences annually). The region’s cities have the second-highest estimated increase in the number of days optimal for arboviruses at 3 degrees C (13 additional days, to 91 days annually) compared to 1.5 degrees C.

Cities in Indonesia face some of the highest compounding risks of both hotter temperatures and greater disease. Three of the four cities in the world with the greatest estimated increase in peak arbovirus days from 1.5 degrees C to 3 degrees C of warming are in Indonesia: Yogyakarta (273 day increase), Jember (151 day increase) and Padang (148 day increase).

Yogyakarta, Indonesia. Cities in Indonesia face some of the highest compounding risks of both hotter temperatures and greater disease in a warmer world. Photo by Manfred Gottschalk/Alamy Stock Photo Reaching 3 Degrees C Is Not a Foregone Conclusion

The future under 3 degrees C of warming looks dire, but these data are only an estimate of effects for one pathway. We have a choice about our climate future. The technology already exists; with the right political will, we can mitigate the worst of these effects.

National and local governments must work urgently to make their cities more climate-resilient while slashing emissions. Specific priorities include:

  • Double down on policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions: Climate problems will only worsen until the world brings greenhouse gas emissions down to net zero. National governments must implement policies aligned with the international Paris Agreement on climate change; cities can set targets and adopt policies to contribute to meeting these goals.
  • Increase finance for climate adaptation: Many low-income cities have climate adaptation plans, but implementation lags due to lack of funding. Adaptation needs for low-income countries are $387 billion per year — 10-18 times bigger than current international public adaptation finance flows.
  • Invest in resilient infrastructure: Adaptation solutions like cooling infrastructure, early-warning systems and heat action plans protect people’s health and boost cities’ long-term resilience. Nature-based solutions like urban forests and wetlands also do these things while bringing the added benefits of nature to city residents.
  • Improve collaboration between cities and national governments, and across city departments: Multi-level partnerships and coordination are key to tackling greenhouse gas emissions and implementing resilience at the scale required to save and improve people’s lives. While in many parts of the world different levels of government tend to operate in silos, using separate strategies, some national governments see the value of cities and support them as climate-solution allies. More than 70 countries committed at the 2023 UN climate summit (COP28) to collaborate with cities on their next national climate plans, due in early 2025, through the CHAMP Initiative. Others should follow.
  • Take a data-driven approach: Climate-hazard forecasts for cities can help them focus on the most likely and urgent climate risks while informing targeted investments and policies. City-scale, city-relevant data like ours should be at the center of planning and budgeting for climate adaptation and resilience.
  

The data for all 14 climate hazards, calculated for 996 cities, are available here. For this article, unless noted otherwise, we used the data only from the single best-performing of nine climate models for each location (the model that best matches the historical meteorological record for each city in the time periods where they overlap), but the dataset includes data from the three best-performing models. The data also include standard deviations for our estimates, as well as estimates and standard deviations of probabilities that the hazard magnitude exceed certain thresholds. The methods underlying our estimates of average hazard magnitudes and threshold-exceedance probabilities are detailed in this technical note. The methods we used to model warming scenarios and our definitions of the 14 climate hazards are detailed in this technical note.

The dataset is formatted to be of most use to data analysts equipped with statistical-analysis software. For everyone else, we’ve put together this user-friendly explorer tool.

Download DataDownload Data

 

Endnotes

1 Our cities are based on the definitions, 2015 populations and spatial extents outlined by the GHS Urban Centre Database.

2 There is no universally applied definition of “heat wave.” For this project, we defined it as three or more consecutive days on which the high temperature equals or exceeds the local 90th percentile of daily high temperature, as determined from the ECMWF ERA5 dataset over the 40-year period 1980–2019.

3 Exposure estimates are based on the 2020 populations in the Global Human Settlement Layer’s GHS-POP dataset.

4 We looked at cooling degree days, the annual sum of positive daily average temperature deviations from a threshold temperature, and a commonly used indicator of energy demand for cooling. Specifically, we calculated CDD21, the annual sum of daily positive deviations from 21°C.

5 Exposure estimates are based on the 2020 populations in the Global Human Settlement Layer’s GHS-POP dataset.

6 We used the ranges 22.9 – 27.8°C and 26 – 29°C for malaria- and arbovirus-transmitting mosquitos, respectively. These are estimated to be optimal for mosquito activity, but transmission can occur well outside these ranges. Also, note that many locations have temperatures within the optimal ranges but do not have the mosquitos. Our estimates therefore may overestimate the risk of shifting disease prevalence.

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shannon.paton@wri.org

Why the Next 3 Months Are Critical for People, Nature and Climate

3 semanas 4 días ago
Why the Next 3 Months Are Critical for People, Nature and Climate shannon.paton@… Tue, 09/17/2024 - 09:56

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Decision-makers from nearly every country on the planet will attend a series of high-profile international summits between now and the end of the year. Together, they offer a unique chance to address the biggest challenges facing people, nature and climate.

It all begins with the UN General Assembly and Climate Week in New York City on September 22nd. In October, leaders will convene in Cali, Colombia for the COP16 summit on global biodiversity goals, the same week as the World Bank and IMF Annual Meetings on international development finance. Many of these same leaders will also attend the UN climate summit (COP29) in Baku, Azerbaijan and the G20 Leaders’ Summit in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil in November.

With these successive and connected convenings, decision-makers have an unprecedented opportunity to finally put the world on track for a livable future.

If we look at the outcomes of past international summits, we might anticipate incremental change at best. But we do not have the luxury of continuing on that path. With the global challenges of climate change, biodiversity loss and rising inequality all heading in the wrong direction — and with dire consequences — piecemeal progress is not enough. Leaders need to not only connect these deeply intertwined issues, but also ensure this season’s summits build on one another to secure the transformative change the world needs.

Global Sustainability Goals Are Far Off Track

Nearly a decade ago in Paris, almost all the countries in the world agreed to keep global temperature rise below 1.5 degrees C. That same year, UN member states unanimously adopted the 17 Sustainable Development Goals, aiming to end poverty, eradicate hunger and tackle other challenges while spurring economic growth. And in 2022, 190 nations committed to 30x30, an agreement to address biodiversity loss by protecting at least 30% of the world’s land and ocean and restoring 30% of its degraded ecosystems by 2030.

These are grand ambitions. But so far, they haven’t translated into enough action. For example, last year’s Global Stocktake revealed the world is far off track from its 1.5-degree C target and headed for a disastrous 2.9 degrees C of warming by the end of this century. The world lost 3.7 million hectares of tropical primary forest in 2023 alone, equivalent to 10 soccer fields per minute!

This year offers the chance to finally bring global goals — and a better future — within reach. At upcoming summits and all the spaces in between them, it’s essential that leaders deliver three big things: more finance; stronger policies; and greater ambition.

Finance: More and Higher-quality Finance for Countries that Need It

Developing countries, which bear the least responsibility for climate change but tend to suffer the greatest impacts, will need roughly $2.4 trillion per year (excluding China) of investment by 2030 to meet global climate and nature goals. Around $1 trillion must come from external sources. Securing this amount of money — a four-fold increase from current levels of investment — will require significant shifts from international, domestic, public and private sources.

This year offers one of the biggest opportunities in decades to do so. It’s critical that wealthier countries step up — both as a moral imperative and economic imperative. Helping developing countries decarbonize and adapt is a prerequisite for avoiding far worse climate impacts and suffering everywhere. There is no path to staying within 1.5 degrees C without this finance. 

COP29 has been dubbed the “Finance COP.” For the first time in 15 years, negotiators will set a new global climate finance goal, replacing the $100 billion wealthy nations provide annually to support low-carbon development in developing nations. It’s essential that they not only significantly raise the amount provided to meet the scale of poorer and more vulnerable nations’ needs, but also improve the quality of climate finance. With 60% of low-income countries in or near debt distress today, developing countries need a higher proportion of grants and concessional finance as opposed to loans.

Given that most of the world’s biodiversity and tropical forests are in developing countries — and that these ecosystems provide global benefits in the form of carbon storage, water provision and other services — wealthier, developed countries have a responsibility to support their protection. Developed countries promised to provide $20 billion in conservation finance by 2025, but they are currently far off track, with an $11.6 billion shortfall. They should come to COP16 prepared to deliver, as well as show how they’re shifting the $500 billion in harmful subsidies driving ecosystem degradation in the first place.

Beyond negotiations at COP29 and COP16, broader discussions on reforming the global financial system and unlocking investment from the private sector will be key to increasing sustainable finance flows from billions to trillions per year. As the world’s wealthiest nations, the G20 can help push through major reforms of the financial sector — including aligning all public and private finance flows with the goals of the Paris Agreement and Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework and identifying ways to tackle debt relief and restructuring. Meanwhile, the World Bank/IMF Annual Meetings in October are a prime opportunity to increase multilateral development banks’ capital and ensure finance can flow to the nations and sectors that need it most. More and better finance is essential for delivering not only greater ambition, but existing nature and climate targets.

Policy: Laying Out an Integrated Development Pathway for Countries

Global targets generate momentum, but they’re only made real by action domestically. That’s why stronger national policies are essential for seizing opportunities for people, nature and climate. 

National leaders can start by using this year’s gatherings to demonstrate real progress against their collective commitments. In recent years, countries have made collective pledges to transition away from fossil fuels, triple renewable energy, slash methane, shift to sustainable food systems and fully halt deforestation by 2030. By showing concrete signs of enacting these changes within their countries, national leaders can inspire others to make good on their own promises while ramping up ambition.

Finally, goals for nature, climate and people are deeply interconnected, yet policymaking has historically been siloed. Climate and nature policies will only be politically feasible if they are good for people and economies. Creating jobs, improving health, reducing costs and ensuring a “just transition” must be central to countries’ nature and climate strategies. To deliver these changes, policymakers need to take a whole-of-government approach to nature and climate goals, integrating them into agricultural, industrial, economic and other policies.

The G20 can advance this issue by creating a framework for countries to produce integrated economic development roadmaps that embed climate and nature. Done right, these roadmaps can then help countries attract more finance by laying out specific policies and plans.

Ambition: Higher Targets for Climate, Nature and People 

At the same time, leaders need to set their sights higher.

To be sure, the world is already awash in commitments — and following through on them is imperative. If countries fulfill their existing climate plans, research shows the world is on a trajectory for up to 2.9 degrees C of warming by the end of the century. This is far better than the projected 4 degrees C if countries fail to fulfill their existing climate plans, but insufficient for ensuring a safe future. The months ahead are a pivotal phase for countries to set stronger targets that can safeguard nature, stabilize the climate and ensure people can thrive. 

By COP16, all countries must submit National Biodiversity Strategies and Action Plans (NBSAPs) detailing how they will meet the collective Global Biodiversity Framework goals, including for 30x30. Yet so far, only a handful have done so. Countries should come forward with targets and plans that are both bold and pragmatic, showing which areas they’ll prioritize for protection and restoration, how they’ll transform food systems (a top driver of biodiversity loss), and how they’ll support Indigenous Peoples and frontline communities’ rights.

Countries are required as part of the Paris Agreement to submit new national climate targets and action plans (NDCs) every five years, with the next set due by February 2025. At Climate Week, COP29 and other moments this year, countries should share their intentions of making their next round of NDCs much stronger than the last. More stringent emissions cuts from G20 countries, responsible for over 75% of the globe’s greenhouse gases, will be especially important for garnering global momentum and inspiring more ambitious NDCs from all countries.

It's important for leaders to recognize that biodiversity loss and climate change are deeply interconnected crises; strong NBSAPs have the ability to lead to stronger NDCs, and vice-versa. Countries should integrate targets from both their NDCs and NBSAPs into their national policies, plans and finance related to food systems, forests and water security, as these three interconnected areas are so critical to countries’ climate, biodiversity and development goals.

Creating a Positive Feedback Loop for Success

Each of this year’s international summits are connected to each other; decisions made at one event affect discussions and outcomes at others. Countries that set ambitious national climate and biodiversity goals, integrate these into new economic development pathways and back them with policies and domestic finance can attract private and international finance at scale —  and address the nature and climate and human crises simultaneously. Reaching a strong global climate finance goal, for example, can give developing countries the confidence to submit strong NDCs in 2025. Meanwhile, the World Bank/IMF meetings and G20 summit are critical to drive progress on international financial reforms and ensure a successful and just global transition. 

The next few months will help determine whether the world continues to settle for unmet goals and incremental progress — or if we will deliver the change needed to build a global economy that is good for people, nature and climate.  

tree-planting-ethiopia.jpg Climate Climate COP29 COP16 NDC Type Commentary Exclude From Blog Feed? 0 Authors Ani Dasgupta
shannon.paton@wri.org

Which Countries Should Pay for International Climate Finance?

3 semanas 5 días ago
Which Countries Should Pay for International Climate Finance? wil.thomas@wri.org Tue, 09/17/2024 - 00:46

The world needs trillions of dollars annually to combat climate change, but questions remain as to where that funding will come from. Most at stake are poorer countries that are the least protected — and hardest hit — from the increasing ravages of heat waves, storm surges and other extreme weather events exacerbated each year by climate change. Many of these countries lack the resources to undertake a rapid and just transition to a low-carbon, climate-resilient economy without external help.

Through the UN Framework Climate Change Convention (UNFCCC) and  the Paris Agreement, countries have made several finance-related commitments, including a new fund for responding to loss and damage to help developing countries recover from extreme climate events. This year, countries are scheduled to set a new finance target aimed at bringing much-needed funds to developing countries. Known as the New Collective Quantified Goal (NCQG), it will replace the $100 billion target developed countries pledged to mobilize annually for developing nations until 2025.

These negotiations have led to a variety of questions, including which countries should help pay. Answering this question involves a number of considerations, including legal interpretations of the Paris Agreement and discussions of justice and fairness. To date, a list of the 23 mostly high-income countries, known as Annex II of the Convention, have been jointly responsible for making financial contributions that enable developing countries to achieve low-emission development and greater climate resilience. This list includes countries like the United States, Japan and Germany.

Now, developed countries are pushing for additional nations to also contribute, specifically nations that today have relatively high levels of wealth and emissions. Meanwhile, developing countries generally say that there is no legal mandate to discuss who should contribute to the new goal, arguing that the Paris Agreement states that the responsibility falls solely on developed nations.

Analyzing Countries’ Climate Finance Responsibilities

Negotiating responsibility for climate finance is not new in the UN climate talks. Financial responsibility has generally been explained through a combination of historic responsibility — measured by emissions levels — and the capacity to pay — measured by levels of economic development. Developed nations, understood as Annex II countries, have typically been high on both these fronts.

However, in the 30-plus years since the countries were identified in Annex II, the world’s per capita income has tripled, reflecting not just nominal, but real gains in living standards. Some non-Annex II countries now have wealth and emissions that are higher than some Annex II nations. Whether this new reality should alter the list of contributing nations will be a hotly contested element of the new climate finance goal negotiations at the upcoming UN climate change summit (COP29) in Azerbaijan this November.

To help contribute to informed discussions on where countries stand in terms of their historic responsibility and capacity to pay, WRI has created a climate finance calculator that generates scenarios based on a country’s historical emissions and their income level. Evaluating different scenarios highlights the nuances needed to consider the level of responsibility for different countries.

For the best user experience, access the Climate Finance Calculator using a desktop computer.

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wil.thomas@wri.org